Nakhon Ratchasima vs Muangthong United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Thai League 1 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
thailandThailandAIS PLAY

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.06
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
74% (237/319)78% (333/425)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.790.61
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
74% (237/319)78% (333/425)
Long passes
30% (15/50)45% (34/75)
Passes in final third
46% (25/54)66% (94/143)
Crosses
33% (3/9)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.191.05
Throw-ins
2120
Fouls
1315
Tackles
70% (7/10)57% (4/7)
Duels won
3728
Clearances
328
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.610.79
Goals prevented
-0.39-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Panthong S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Phimpsang C. , Mungdee A. ,
  • 46', Paso S. , Bangsungnoen R. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Dunnwald-Turan K. , Thodsanit P. (A),
  • 61', Thodsanit P. , Nuntagowat T. ,
  • 63', Lemdee B. , Mamadou B. ,
  • 66', Brandao , Dennis Murillo ,
  • 67', Jaiphet A. 🟨,
  • 68', Sattham J. , Kraikruan S. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Dennis Murillo (Pen),
  • 82', Dennis Murillo 🟨,
  • 83', Darbellay D. , Athisaraworameth T. ,
  • 83', Bangsungnoen R. 🟨,
  • 87', Tasa K. , Ahannach A. ,
  • 90', Dunnwald-Turan K. , Thodsanid P. ,
  • 90+5', Ahannach A. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Strauss J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nakhon Ratchasima
30.8%
Draw
25.6%
Muangthong United
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 26.2% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 25.2% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nakhon Ratchasima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Nakhon Ratchasima - Muangthong United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (3.32)
    3.63
    (3.56)
    2.13
    (2.05)
    7.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nakhon Ratchasima - Muangthong United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Nakhon Ratchasima (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nakhon Ratchasima (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Nakhon Ratchasima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Muangthong United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Muangthong United were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Muangthong United - Nakhon Ratchasima 2:0
    11.08.2024 Nakhon Ratchasima - Muangthong United 2:1
    28.01.2023 Muangthong United - Nakhon Ratchasima 3:0
    28.08.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima - Muangthong United 1:1
    Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
    Latest results of Muangthong United
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    16Nakhon Ratchasima FC20341313:33-2013

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