Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (237/319) | 78% (333/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (237/319) | 78% (333/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (15/50) | 45% (34/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 66% (94/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Panthong S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Phimpsang C. ↓, Mungdee A. ↑,
- 46', Paso S. ↓, Bangsungnoen R. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 1, Dunnwald-Turan K. ⚽, Thodsanit P. (A),
- 61', Thodsanit P. ↓, Nuntagowat T. ↑,
- 63', Lemdee B. ↓, Mamadou B. ↑,
- 66', Brandao ↓, Dennis Murillo ↑,
- 67', Jaiphet A. 🟨,
- 68', Sattham J. ↓, Kraikruan S. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Dennis Murillo (Pen),
- 82', Dennis Murillo 🟨,
- 83', Darbellay D. ↓, Athisaraworameth T. ↑,
- 83', Bangsungnoen R. 🟨,
- 87', Tasa K. ↓, Ahannach A. ↑,
- 90', Dunnwald-Turan K. ↓, Thodsanid P. ↑,
- 90+5', Ahannach A. 🟨,
- 90+9', Strauss J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nakhon Ratchasima
30.8% | Draw
25.6% | Muangthong United
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nakhon Ratchasima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Nakhon Ratchasima - Muangthong United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↓
(3.32) |
3.63 ↑
(3.56) |
2.13 ↑
(2.05) |
7.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Nakhon Ratchasima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Muangthong United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Muangthong United?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Muangthong United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Muangthong United were as follows:
27.04.2025
Muangthong United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
2:0
11.08.2024
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Muangthong United
2:1
28.01.2023
Muangthong United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
3:0
28.08.2022
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Muangthong United
1:1
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Latest results of Muangthong United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Bangkok Utd | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Port MTI FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:6 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Prachuap | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Muang Thong Utd | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Sukhothai | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Ayutthaya Utd | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Kanchanaburi | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Lamphun Warrior | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Chonburi | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Uthai Thani | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
