Result
3:0
17/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (306/370) | 78% (278/355) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (306/370) | 78% (278/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 36% (17/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (48/84) | 64% (70/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Kamara A. ⚽,
- 27', Kamara A. 🟨,
- 30', Kim Dong-Su 🟨,
- 35', Strauss J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lorenzen M. ↓, Saric M. ↑,
- 46', Nuntagowat T. ↓, Phosri S. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Townsend A. ⚽,
- 55', Ahannach A. 🟨,
- 56', Supunpasuch C. 🟨,
- 68', Rodrigues G. 🟨,
- 69', Panthong S. ↓, Thodsanit P. ↑,
- 71', Rodrigues G. ↓, Ewerton ↑,
- 71', Supunpasuch C. ↓, Ratniyorm S. ↑,
- 79', Ahannach A. ↓, Seangsawat K. ↑,
- 82', Oyarzun A. ↓, Kumar A. ↑,
- 86', Kamara A. ↓, Samphaodi C. ↑,
- 86', Stewart R. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 87', Strauss J. ↓, Chaikultewin W. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Ratniyorm S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kanchanaburi
43.8% | Draw
27.5% | Muangthong United
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kanchanaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kanchanaburi's performance.Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Muangthong United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kanchanaburi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muangthong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kanchanaburi - Muangthong United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.53) |
3.29 ↓
(3.37) |
3.14 ↑
(2.53) |
10.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kanchanaburi - Muangthong United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Muangthong United (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Muangthong United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 13).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Muangthong United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Kanchanaburi has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kanchanaburi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Kanchanaburi won against Muangthong United?
Kanchanaburi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Kanchanaburi?
Muangthong United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kanchanaburi - Muangthong United were as follows:
31.08.2025
Muangthong United
-
Kanchanaburi
2:0
Latest results of Kanchanaburi
Latest results of Muangthong United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 75:30 | 45 | 69 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 55:22 | 33 | 57 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48:29 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Chiangrai Utd | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 35:37 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya Utd | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Muang Thong Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | Sukhothai | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 25 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:42 | -23 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 29:53 | -24 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
