Result
2:1
18/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (292/372) | 70% (187/268) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (292/372) | 70% (187/268) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (34/67) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (78/128) | 56% (44/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 25 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Tsonkov S. 🟨,
- 22', Wendel 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, James L. ⚽, Becerra J. (A),
- 56', Ahannach A. ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
- 64', Panthong S. ↓, Phosri S. ↑,
- 68', Hanrattana P. 🟨,
- 68', Hanrattana P. ↓, Jaroenbut N. ↑,
- 73', Phosri S. 🟨,
- 73', Mita H. 🟨,
- 75', Bangsungnoen R. 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 1, Jaiphet A. (Own goal),
- 90+1', Dennis Murillo ↓, Sienkrthok P. ↑,
- 90+9', 2 - 1, Willian Popp (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+10', Becerra J. ↓, Mungdee A. ↑,
- 90+10', Lalic N. ↓, Charalampous C. ↑,
- 90+11', Saric M. ↓, Kraikruan S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Muangthong United
57.8% | Draw
23.4% | Nakhon Ratchasima
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Muangthong United - Nakhon Ratchasima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.58) |
3.93 ↓
(3.96) |
4.88 ↑
(4.83) |
8.9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Muangthong United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nakhon Ratchasima has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Muangthong United is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:6. (average 2.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Muangthong United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Muangthong United?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Nakhon Ratchasima were as follows:
28.09.2025
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Muangthong United
1:1
27.04.2025
Muangthong United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
2:0
11.08.2024
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Muangthong United
2:1
28.01.2023
Muangthong United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
3:0
28.08.2022
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Muangthong United
1:1
Latest results of Muangthong United
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 74:27 | 47 | 69 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:21 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48:29 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 38:30 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Chiangrai Utd | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 35:37 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya Utd | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 20:41 | -21 | 25 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:48 | -22 | 25 |
| 15 | Kanchanaburi | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27:51 | -24 | 22 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:42 | -24 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
