Nancy vs Le Mans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy).

Ligue 2 - Round 27
Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.63	1.30
Ball possession
40%	60%
Total shots
6	10
Shots on target
4	5
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
4	7
Passes
68% (228/333)	81% (406/500)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.63	1.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.85	2.17
Total shots
6	10
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
1	1
Blocked shots
1	4
Shots inside the box
3	7
Shots outside the box
3	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	2
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
14	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
19	10
Passes
68% (228/333)	81% (406/500)
Long passes
48% (33/69)	45% (35/78)
Passes in final third
52% (49/95)	57% (62/108)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.26	0.83
Throw ins
20	27
Fouls
10	19
Tackles
57% (16/28)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
68	38
Clearances
27	18
Interceptions
6	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
2.17	1.85
Goals prevented
-1.83	-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Ztouti Z. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
32', Cossier I. ↓, Voyer H. ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Rabillard A. ⚽, Calodat L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 1 - 2, Rabillard A. ⚽, Buades L. (A),
54', Orakpo V. ↓, Bokangu B. ↑,
59', 1 - 3, Rabillard A. ⚽,
59', Robin M. ↓, Bourabaa A. ↑,
60', Quarshie E. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
63', Carlier M. ↓, Bouriaud T. ↑,
64', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
64', Ztouti Z. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
69', Gelin J. ↓, Barbier H. ↑,
71', Colas E. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
72', Rabillard A. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
77', Bokangu B. 🟨,
77', Lauray A. 🟨,
79', 1 - 4, Buades L. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 4, Bouabdelli W. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Nancy
31.5%

Draw
29.7%

Le Mans
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.2%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

27.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Nancy - Le Mans Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.55)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	2.42 ↓ (2.65)	6.7% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Nancy - Le Mans?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Le Mans will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 32% – 80.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Nancy (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nancy (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Nancy: Bamba R. (Injury) Carlier M. (Injury) Experience M. (Inactive) Julloux A. (Inactive) Kenzo N. (Injury) Ouotro P. (Injury) Saint-Ruf N. (Red Card) Sourzac M. (Arm Injury) Suljic C. (Inactive) Ztouti Z. (Inactive)
There will not play in Le Mans: Eyoum T. (Injury) Gomes M. (Ankle Injury) Vercruysse J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Nancy: Mendy E. (Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Le Mans?

Nancy has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Nancy?

Le Mans has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Le Mans were as follows:

11.01.2026 Le Mans - Nancy 1:0

31.10.2025 Le Mans - Nancy 1:0

28.03.2025 Nancy - Le Mans 2:0

01.11.2024 Le Mans - Nancy 0:4

26.04.2024 Nancy - Le Mans 3:6

Latest results of Nancy

06.03.2026 Nancy - Montpellier 0:3 ✺

27.02.2026 Laval - Nancy 1:1 ✺

20.02.2026 Nancy - Grenoble 0:0 ✺

13.02.2026 Red Star - Nancy 2:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Nancy - Troyes 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Le Mans

07.03.2026 Le Mans - Annecy 3:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Red Star - Le Mans 0:0 ✺

23.02.2026 Le Mans - Guingamp 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Montpellier - Le Mans 4:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Le Mans - Laval 1:1 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes	28	17	6	5	49:28	21	57
2	St Etienne	28	16	5	7	50:29	21	53
3	Le Mans	28	13	11	4	41:29	12	50
4	Red Star	28	13	8	7	32:27	5	47
5	Reims	28	12	10	6	41:26	15	46
6	Rodez	28	11	11	6	35:33	2	44
7	Montpellier	28	12	6	10	33:25	8	42
8	Dunkerque	28	10	9	9	43:34	9	39
9	Annecy	28	11	6	11	35:34	1	39
10	Guingamp	28	10	9	9	38:40	-2	39
11	Pau FC	28	10	9	9	40:44	-4	39
12	Boulogne	28	9	7	12	30:38	-8	34
13	Grenoble	28	6	12	10	26:33	-7	30
14	Clermont	28	7	7	14	30:37	-7	28
15	Nancy	28	7	7	14	24:40	-16	28
16	Amiens	28	6	5	17	33:50	-17	23
17	Laval	28	4	11	13	24:41	-17	23
18	Bastia	28	3	11	14	15:31	-16	20

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National