Result
2:4
13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 27
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (228/333) | 81% (406/500) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (228/333) | 81% (406/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (33/69) | 45% (35/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (49/95) | 57% (62/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (16/28) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.83 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Ztouti Z. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
- 32', Cossier I. ↓, Voyer H. ↑,
- 39', 1 - 1, Rabillard A. ⚽, Calodat L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 48', 1 - 2, Rabillard A. ⚽, Buades L. (A),
- 54', Orakpo V. ↓, Bokangu B. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 3, Rabillard A. ⚽,
- 59', Robin M. ↓, Bourabaa A. ↑,
- 60', Quarshie E. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
- 63', Carlier M. ↓, Bouriaud T. ↑,
- 64', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
- 64', Ztouti Z. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 69', Gelin J. ↓, Barbier H. ↑,
- 71', Colas E. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
- 72', Rabillard A. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
- 77', Bokangu B. 🟨,
- 77', Lauray A. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 4, Buades L. ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 4, Bouabdelli W. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nancy
31.5% | Draw
29.7% | Le Mans
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Nancy - Le Mans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.55) |
3.14 ↓
(3.15) |
2.42 ↓
(2.65) |
6.7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nancy - Le Mans?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Le Mans will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 32% – 80.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Nancy (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nancy (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Nancy: Bamba R.
(Injury)
Carlier M.
(Injury)
Experience M.
(Inactive)
Julloux A.
(Inactive)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Ouotro P.
(Injury)
Saint-Ruf N.
(Red Card)
Sourzac M.
(Arm Injury)
Suljic C.
(Inactive)
Ztouti Z.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Le Mans: Eyoum T.
(Injury)
Gomes M.
(Ankle Injury)
Vercruysse J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nancy: Mendy E.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Le Mans?
Nancy has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Nancy?
Le Mans has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Le Mans were as follows:
11.01.2026
Le Mans
-
Nancy
1:0
31.10.2025
Le Mans
-
Nancy
1:0
28.03.2025
Nancy
-
Le Mans
2:0
01.11.2024
Le Mans
-
Nancy
0:4
26.04.2024
Nancy
-
Le Mans
3:6
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
