Result
0:0
11/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 29
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (286/370) | 73% (233/318) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (286/370) | 73% (233/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 37% (21/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (78/114) | 54% (49/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Ganago I. 🟨,
- 16', Lepenant J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', Namaso D. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
- 73', Coquelin F. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
- 74', Tabibou D. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
- 77', Faivre R. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
- 77', Oppegard F. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
- 81', Abline M. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
- 82', Guilbert F. ↓, Cabella R. ↑,
- 86', Sissoko I. 🟨,
- 89', Centonze F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Auxerre
49.5% | Draw
28.3% | Nantes
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auxerre that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nantes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Auxerre - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.09) |
3.36 ↑
(3.26) |
4.29 ↑
(3.66) |
5.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Nantes?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Nantes will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 50.9% – 95.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Nantes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Auxerre (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.
- Auxerre has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nantes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Auxerre is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
El Azzouzi O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nantes: Tati T.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Auxerre: Coulibaly L.
(Injury)
Mensah G.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Nantes?
Auxerre has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Auxerre?
Nantes has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Nantes were as follows:
30.08.2025
Nantes
-
Auxerre
1:0
10.05.2025
Auxerre
-
Nantes
1:1
25.08.2024
Nantes
-
Auxerre
2:0
16.04.2023
Auxerre
-
Nantes
2:1
01.01.2023
Nantes
-
Auxerre
1:0
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49:34 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:56 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
