Nantes vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:2
18/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 18
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.370.97
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
13
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
12
Passes
86% (398/465)85% (428/501)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
0.370.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.761.43
Total shots
510
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
25
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
812
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1416
Passes
86% (398/465)85% (428/501)
Long passes
48% (22/46)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
67% (58/86)68% (69/102)
Crosses
0% (0/10)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.73
Throw ins
2415
Fouls
1614
Tackles
69% (11/16)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
2019
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
1.430.76
Goals prevented
-0.57-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Kebbal I. ⚽,
  • 18', Machado D. ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
  • 21', Gilli S. 🟨,
  • 23', Tati T. 🟨,
  • 29', Kebbal I. 🟨,
  • 35', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Abline M. ⚽, Mwanga J. (A),
  • 60', Kolodziejczak T. 🟨,
  • 65', El Arabi Y. ↓, Ganago I. ↑,
  • 65', Coquelin F. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
  • 67', Gory A. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Koleosho L. ⚽, Traore H. (A),
  • 81', Otavio ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
  • 82', Sissoko I. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
  • 87', Kebbal I. ↓, Munetsi M. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mra37fcf

Chances of winning


Nantes
36.1%		Draw
29.8%		Paris FC
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 29.9% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 30.4% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantes's performance.
  • Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
    •

    Nantes - Paris FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.63 ↓
    (3.05)    		 3.18 ↑
    (3.15)    		 2.79 ↑
    (2.39)    		 5.3%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nantes - Paris FC?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 17 - 51.5%). Paris FC will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 34.4% – 68.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Paris FC (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Nantes (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Nantes (2.62) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Paris FC (1.96) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Paris FC (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Paris FC has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Awaziem C. (International duty) Centonze F. (Injury) Mostafa Mohamed (International duty)
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Chergui S. (Injury) Lees-Melou P. (Shin Injury) Simon M. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Paris FC: De Smet T. (Inactive) Dicko N. (Inactive) Geubbels W. (Muscle Injury) Gory A. (Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Munetsi M. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Paris FC were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Paris FC - Nantes 1:2
    09.08.2025 Nantes - Paris FC 2:3
    Latest results of Nantes
    11.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Nantes 0:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Concarneau - Nantes 3:5 ✺
    12.12.2025 Angers - Nantes 4:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Nantes - Lens 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Paris FC
    12.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC 0:1 ✺
    04.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC 2:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Raon LEtape - Paris FC 0:3 ✺
    13.12.2025 Paris FC - Toulouse 0:3 ✺
    07.12.2025 Le Havre - Paris FC 0:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG26193458:223660
    2Lens27192654:243059
    3Marseille27154854:351949
    4Lyon27145841:291247
    5Lille27145842:34847
    6Monaco27144947:38946
    7Rennes27128743:37644
    8Strasbourg27117943:331040
    9Toulouse271071038:32637
    10Lorient27910837:41-437
    11Brest271061134:39-536
    12Angers27951324:37-1332
    13Paris FC277101032:43-1131
    14Le Havre27691222:35-1327
    15Nice27761432:52-2027
    16Auxerre27571522:36-1422
    17Nantes26451724:45-2117
    18Metz27351925:60-3514

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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