Result
0:3
21/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.12 | 3.13 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
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6 | 24 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
54% (136/252) | 54% (118/218) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.12 | 3.13 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 2.44 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 24 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 13 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
1 | 18 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
3 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
54% (136/252) | 54% (118/218) |
Long passes |
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32% (29/92) | 31% (21/67) |
Passes in final third |
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37% (30/82) | 55% (59/107) |
Crosses |
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8% (1/13) | 48% (15/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.13 | 2.61 |
Throw-ins |
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28 | 30 |
Fouls |
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10 | 15 |
Tackles |
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67% (4/6) | 90% (9/10) |
Duels won |
---|
31 | 34 |
Clearances |
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30 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.44 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.56 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Hu Ming 🟨,
- 31', Chen Y. 🟨,
- 41', Kolev A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Shi Yucheng 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Jiang Jiapeng ↓, Yin Jiaxi ↑,
- 61', 0 - 1, Kolev A. ⚽, Palocevic A. (A),
- 62', Ye Daochi ↓, Jia Boyan ↑,
- 63', Nzuzi Mata K. ↓, Lin F. ↑,
- 66', Yin Jiaxi 🟨,
- 67', Lu J. ↓, Gao J. ↑,
- 78', Chen Binbin ↓, Gu Jiayi ↑,
- 78', Liu Weicheng ↓, Cao Kang ↑,
- 79', 0 - 2, Jia Boyan ⚽, Gu Jiayi (A),
- 80', Marcic M. ↓, Li Yingjian ↑,
- 81', Su Yuliang ↓, Lin Zefeng ↑,
- 87', 0 - 3, Kolev A. ⚽, Palocevic A. (A),
- 88', Xu Hui ↓, Jiang Zilei ↑,
- 90', Ma Sheng 🟨,
- 90+2', Shi Yucheng ↓, Zhong Junze ↑,
- 90+4', Kolev A. ↓, Meng Junjie ↑,
Chances of winning
Shenzhen Juniors 29.9% | Draw 28.1% | Nantong Zhiyun 42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shenzhen Juniors's form might have worsened.Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nantong Zhiyun's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shenzhen Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantong Zhiyun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Zhiyun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.15 ↑ (2.27) |
3.35 ↑ (3.15) |
2.23 ↓ (3) |
6.3% (9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8).
- Shenzhen Juniors is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nantong Zhiyun has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nantong Zhiyun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shenzhen Juniors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Juniors won against Nantong Zhiyun?
Shenzhen Juniors has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantong Zhiyun won against Shenzhen Juniors?
Nantong Zhiyun has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Zhiyun were as follows:
10.05.2025
Nantong Zhiyun
-
Shenzhen Juniors
5:0
Latest results of Shenzhen Juniors
Latest results of Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Liaoning Tieren | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 50:25 | 25 | 52 |
2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 44:30 | 14 | 46 |
3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Yanbian Longding | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 28:20 | 8 | 42 |
5 | Dalian K'un City | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
6 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 38 |
7 | Nantong Zhiyun | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:24 | 8 | 36 |
8 | Dingnan Ganlian | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 36 |
9 | Suzhou Dongwu | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 30 |
10 | Nanjing City | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
11 | Shaanxi Union | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 28 |
12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 27 |
13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 32:51 | -19 | 23 |
14 | Foshan Nanshi | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 22 |
15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19:33 | -14 | 21 |
16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League