Result
1:0 penalties
01/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (351/451) | 81% (429/531) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (351/451) | 81% (429/531) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (35/66) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (60/109) | 66% (104/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Henderlong K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cerro I. ↓, Ferrin A. ↑,
- 49', Ferrin A. 🟨,
- 66', Becher R. ↓, Botello Faz P. ↑,
- 76', O'Connor K. 🟨,
- 81', Stefano Pinho ↓, Martinez I. ↑,
- 90+4', Acoff D. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 96', Henderlong K. ↓, Prpa L. ↑,
- 99', Kasim P. 🟨,
- 107', Cisneros J. 🟨,
- 116', Kasim P. ↓, Bronnik M. ↑,
- 116', Acoff D. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
- 118', Schneider M. ↓, Jiba R. ↑,
- 120', Glasser M. ↓, Pasnik T. ↑,
- 120', Cisneros J. ↓, Garrett I. ↑,
- 120', Heckenberg C. ↓, Fernandes G. ↑,
- 120+3', Delgado E. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Prpa L. (Pen),
- 1, Ors S. (Pen),
- 2, Pasnik T. (Pen),
- 2, Jiba R. (Pen),
- 3, Dengler J. (Pen),
- 3, Botello Faz P. (Pen),
- 4, O'Connor K. (Pen),
- 4, Ostrem C. (Pen),
- 5, Onen J. (Pen),
- 5, Martinez I. (Pen),
- 6, Garrett I. (Pen),
- 6, Bronnik M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Naples
22.9% | Draw
25.2% | Union Omaha
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+0.6%)The ML Model estimate for Union Omaha aligns with the current prediction.
Naples - Union Omaha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.99 ↑
(3.77) |
3.63 ↑
(3.58) |
1.76 ↓
(1.8) |
9.5%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Naples has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Union Omaha is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Union Omaha has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Union Omaha is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Naples won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Naples won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Naples won against Union Omaha?
Naples has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Omaha won against Naples?
Union Omaha has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naples - Union Omaha were as follows:
05.10.2025
Union Omaha
-
Naples
1:0
25.05.2025
Naples
-
Union Omaha
3:1
Latest results of Union Omaha
USL League One Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Naples | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Union Omaha | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Westchester SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Greenville | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Forward Madison | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | New York Cosmos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Boise | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Charlotte Independ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fort Wayne | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Sarasota Paradise | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | AV Alta | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Corpus Christi FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
