Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.08
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
78% (342/439)69% (164/237)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.520.00
Total shots
134
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
70
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
209
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
78% (342/439)69% (164/237)
Long passes
47% (24/51)34% (21/62)
Passes in final third
63% (66/104)56% (52/93)
Crosses
29% (6/21)6% (1/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.22
Throw-ins
3123
Fouls
1414
Tackles
65% (17/26)77% (10/13)
Duels won
7247
Clearances
1928
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.000.52
Goals prevented
0.00-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Vinberg S. 🟨,
  • 34', Ostrem C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Kasim P. , Ostrem C. (A),
  • 52', Wootton L. 🟨,
  • 61', Southern E. , Poon-Angeron M. ,
  • 63', Wootton L. , Martinez I. ,
  • 63', Kasim P. , Acoff D. ,
  • 66', Varela W. , Kamara J. ,
  • 66', Kvifte N. H. , Keegan J. ,
  • 66', Reilly M. , Wright O. ,
  • 72', Knapp B. , Gallardo J. ,
  • 82', Ors S. , Botello Faz P. ,
  • 82', Bronnik M. , Barjolo B. ,
  • 90+3', Becher R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kamara J. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Union Omaha
64.8%
Draw
20.5%
Portland Hearts of Pine
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 21.8% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 22.5% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union Omaha's performance.
  • Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.54)
    4.51
    (4.15)
    6.31
    (4.73)
    8%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ))
    • Union Omaha is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hearts of Pine is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Union Omaha is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Union Omaha will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Union Omaha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine - Union Omaha 3:1
    10.05.2025 Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine 2:2
    Latest results of Union Omaha
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1One Knoxville852112:6617
    2FC Naples84229:7214
    3Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    4Union Omaha640210:7312
    5Forward Madison53118:5310
    6Portland Hearts of Pine62317:439
    7Boise522110:648
    8Westchester SC721412:14-27
    9Richmond Kickers62135:7-27
    10New York Cosmos721412:16-47
    11Sarasota Paradise82157:13-67
    12Greenville42028:716
    13Charlotte Independ512210:825
    14Fort Wayne51225:8-35
    15Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    16AV Alta60427:11-44
    17Corpus Christi FC50235:11-62

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)