Result
2:3
28/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 8
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 6, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8 |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, V Sport Premium |
 France | Canal+ Live 5 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Ireland | Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Canal+, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | HBO Max |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1 |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 5 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
 South-america | Space Latin America, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 10 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 1 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, Virgin TV Go app |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360, VTV Prime |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (456/529) | 89% (569/636) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (456/529) | 89% (569/636) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (16/41) | 40% (14/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (71/99) | 78% (75/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 18% (2/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', Juan Jesus 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Fernandez E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', 1 - 1, Vergara A. ⚽, Olivera M. (A),
- 43', 2 - 1, Hojlund R. ⚽, Olivera M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Neto P. ↓, Palmer C. ↑,
- 59', Andrey Santos ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
- 59', Gusto M. ↓, Chalobah T. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 2, Joao Pedro ⚽, Palmer C. (A),
- 67', Juan Jesus ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
- 74', Estêvão ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
- 75', Elmas E. 🟨,
- 82', Elmas E. ↓, Lukaku R. ↑,
- 82', Spinazzola L. ↓, Beukema S. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 3, Joao Pedro ⚽, Palmer C. (A),
- 88', Fofana W. 🟨,
- 90', Gittens J. ↓, Badiashile B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Napoli
27.6% | Draw
26.7% | Chelsea
45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napoli's form might have worsened.Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelsea's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Napoli - Chelsea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.48 ↑
(2.59) |
3.59 ↓
(3.82) |
2.11 ↓
(2.59) |
4.1%
(3.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Napoli - Chelsea?
Users Predictions:
50 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 9 - 18%). Chelsea will win (votes: 30 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 22%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 46.4% – 73.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Chelsea (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 63.6%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Napoli (5.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chelsea will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Chelsea (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Napoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chelsea is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Chelsea might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F.
(Thigh Injury)
David Neres
(Ankle Injury)
De Bruyne K.
(Thigh Injury)
Gilmour B.
(Groin Injury)
Marianucci L.
(Inactive)
Mazzocchi P.
(Concussion)
Milinkovic-Savic V.
(Muscle Injury)
Politano M.
(Muscle Injury)
Rrahmani A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Chelsea: Adarabioyo T.
(Muscle Injury)
Colwill L.
(Knee Injury)
Essugo D.
(Injury)
Lavia R.
(Thigh Injury)
Mudryk M.
(Suspended)
Slonina G.
(Inactive)
Sterling R.
(Inactive)
Wiley C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chelsea: Jorgensen F.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Napoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Chelsea?
Napoli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Napoli?
Chelsea has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Chelsea were as follows:
Latest results of Chelsea
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | 3 : 0, 5 : 2 |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | 2 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | 1 : 4, 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | 2 : 7, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | 0 : 5, 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 2 | Real Madrid (9) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 3 | Barcelona (5) | Atl. Madrid (14) | |
| 4 | Sporting CP (7) | Arsenal (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
