Napoli vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 29
  • Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 4
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
paraguayParaguayESPN 4
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 4, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.290.76
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
77
Passes
88% (527/601)75% (184/245)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.290.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.210.59
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
78
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
711
Passes
88% (527/601)75% (184/245)
Long passes
59% (19/32)38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
80% (103/128)61% (42/69)
Crosses
17% (3/18)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.49
Throw ins
2423
Fouls
117
Tackles
50% (9/18)80% (16/20)
Duels won
4653
Clearances
1724
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.591.21
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Siebert J. , Gallo A. (A),
  • 19', Siebert J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Elmas E. , McTominay S. ,
  • 46', Anguissa F. , De Bruyne K. ,
  • 46', Coulibaly L. , Gandelman O. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Hojlund R. , Politano M. (A),
  • 59', Stulic N. , Cheddira W. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Politano M. ,
  • 73', Politano M. , Gutierrez M. ,
  • 73', Spinazzola L. , Mazzocchi P. ,
  • 79', Pierotti S. , Ndri K. ,
  • 79', Gallo A. , Ndaba C. ,
  • 85', Alisson Santos , Giovane ,
  • 86', Ngom O. , Fofana S. ,

Chances of winning


Napoli
66.1%
Draw
22.3%
Lecce
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.5% 20.6% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9% 19.6% 9.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Napoli - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.37)
    4.31
    (4.63)
    8.45
    (9.56)
    4.3%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Napoli - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 30 - 83.3%). Lecce will win (votes: 1 - 2.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 71.1%95.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • EH -1 - Napoli (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Napoli (2.30) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Lecce (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lecce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Napoli is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Rrahmani A. (Injury) Vergara A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Camarda F. (Injury) Gaspar K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Napoli: Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Gallo A. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 1.6:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Lecce were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1
    03.05.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1
    26.10.2024 Napoli - Lecce 1:0
    26.05.2024 Napoli - Lecce 0:0
    30.09.2023 Lecce - Napoli 0:4
    Latest results of Napoli
    06.03.2026 Napoli - Torino 2:1
    28.02.2026 Verona - Napoli 1:2
    22.02.2026 Atalanta - Napoli 2:1
    15.02.2026 Napoli - Roma 2:2
    10.02.2026 Napoli - Como 1:2
    Latest results of Lecce
    08.03.2026 Lecce - Cremonese 2:1
    28.02.2026 Como - Lecce 3:1
    21.02.2026 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:2
    16.02.2026 Cagliari - Lecce 0:2
    08.02.2026 Lecce - Udinese 2:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter29222565:234268
    2AC Milan29179344:212360
    3Napoli29185645:301559
    4Como29159548:222654
    5Juventus29158651:282353
    6AS Roma291631039:231651
    7Atalanta291211640:271347
    8Bologna291261138:34442
    9Lazio291010929:28140
    10Sassuolo291151335:39-438
    11Udinese291061333:42-936
    12Parma298101121:36-1534
    13Genoa29891236:40-433
    14Torino29961432:50-1833
    15Cagliari29791331:41-1030
    16Fiorentina296101334:43-928
    17Lecce29761621:39-1827
    18Cremonese29591523:44-2124
    19Pisa292121523:49-2618
    20Verona29391722:51-2918

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B