Lecce vs Napoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce).

Serie A - Round 35
Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.31	0.58
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
1	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
86% (331/385)	89% (440/497)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.31	0.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.04	0.41
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
3	6
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
10	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
4	11
Passes
86% (331/385)	89% (440/497)
Long passes
55% (30/55)	58% (34/59)
Passes in final third
77% (88/115)	64% (63/98)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.39	0.28
Throw-ins
22	20
Fouls
11	4
Tackles
50% (6/12)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
34	35
Clearances
26	21
Interceptions
2	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.41	0.04
Goals prevented
-0.59	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Raspadori G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kaba M. ↓, Tete Morente ↑,
46', Karlsson J. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
54', Lobotka S. ↓, Gilmour B. ↑,
63', Guilbert F. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
66', Pierret B. ↓, Berisha M. ↑,
66', Krstovic N. 🟨,
79', Raspadori G. ↓, Billing P. ↑,
82', Tete Morente 🟨,
84', Pierotti S. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
87', Lukaku R. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
88', Politano M. ↓, Ngonge C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Lecce
12.6%

Draw
23.4%

Napoli
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

24.4%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

24.2%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Lecce - Napoli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.57 ↑ (5.84)	4.09 ↑ (3.94)	1.5 ↓ (1.63)	4.2% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Lecce - Napoli?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1 - Napoli (votes: 6 - 100%).

AH +0.75 - Napoli (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (102 of 113 users predict this - 90.27%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.81% – 95.73%. The data is statistically significant.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.
Lecce is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Napoli is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Napoli is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J. (Heart Problems) Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Scott E. (Injury)
There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Calf Injury) Juan Jesus (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Injury) Contini N. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.4:2.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Napoli?

Lecce has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Lecce?

Napoli has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Napoli were as follows:

26.10.2024 Napoli - Lecce 1:0

26.05.2024 Napoli - Lecce 0:0

30.09.2023 Lecce - Napoli 0:4

07.04.2023 Lecce - Napoli 1:2

31.08.2022 Napoli - Lecce 1:1

Latest results of Lecce

27.04.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Lecce - Como 0:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Juventus - Lecce 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Lecce - Venezia 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Lecce - Roma 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Napoli

27.04.2025 Napoli - Torino 2:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Monza - Napoli 0:1 ✺

14.04.2025 Napoli - Empoli 3:0 ✺

07.04.2025 Bologna - Napoli 1:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B