Lecce vs Napoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 9
  • Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainDAZN Espana
surinameSurinameSCCN
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.85
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
80% (291/362)87% (450/520)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.051.08
Total shots
714
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
80% (291/362)87% (450/520)
Long passes
36% (19/53)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
67% (61/91)68% (88/129)
Crosses
31% (4/13)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.63
Throw-ins
2028
Fouls
1014
Tackles
41% (12/29)79% (19/24)
Duels won
5253
Clearances
2715
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.081.05
Goals prevented
0.081.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Olivera M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Pierotti S. , Tete Morente ,
  • 48', Lang N. , David Neres ,
  • 55', Camarda F. (Pen),
  • 61', Olivera M. , Spinazzola L. ,
  • 61', Politano M. , McTominay S. ,
  • 61', Lucca L. , Hojlund R. ,
  • 62', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
  • 65', Banda L. , Ndri K. ,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Anguissa F. , David Neres (A),
  • 70', Camarda F. , Stulic N. ,
  • 77', Berisha M. , Maleh Y. ,
  • 77', Coulibaly L. , Pierret B. ,
  • 85', Elmas E. , Gutierrez M. ,
  • 88', Ndri K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lecce
15%
Draw
24.3%
Napoli
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.9% 22.1% 64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4% 21.4% 66.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lecce - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.55
    (6.9)
    4.06
    (4.34)
    1.58
    (1.5)
    3.2%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lecce - Napoli?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 3 - 5.2%). Napoli will win (votes: 50 - 86.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 77.3%95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Lecce (1.69) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Lecce (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Napoli (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Napoli is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Perez M. (Illness) Rafia H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Napoli: De Bruyne K. (Muscle Injury) Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Sottil R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Napoli: Contini N. (Hand Injury) Hojlund R. (Thigh Injury) Rrahmani A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.3:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Napoli were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Lecce - Napoli 0:1
    26.10.2024 Napoli - Lecce 1:0
    26.05.2024 Napoli - Lecce 0:0
    30.09.2023 Lecce - Napoli 0:4
    07.04.2023 Lecce - Napoli 1:2
    Latest results of Lecce
    25.10.2025 Udinese - Lecce 3:2
    18.10.2025 Lecce - Sassuolo 0:0
    04.10.2025 Parma - Lecce 0:1
    28.09.2025 Lecce - Bologna 2:2
    23.09.2025 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    Latest results of Napoli
    25.10.2025 Napoli - Inter Milan 3:1
    21.10.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Napoli 6:2
    18.10.2025 Torino - Napoli 1:0
    05.10.2025 Napoli - Genoa 2:1
    01.10.2025 Napoli - Sporting Lisbon 2:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter26211462:214164
    2AC Milan26159241:202154
    3Napoli26155639:271250
    4AS Roma26162834:161850
    5Juventus26137643:251846
    6Como26129541:192245
    7Atalanta26129536:221445
    8Bologna261061035:32336
    9Sassuolo261051132:35-335
    10Lazio26810826:25134
    11Udinese26951228:39-1132
    12Parma26881019:31-1232
    13Cagliari26781128:35-729
    14Genoa26691132:37-527
    15Torino26761325:47-2227
    16Fiorentina26591230:39-924
    17Cremonese26591221:36-1524
    18Lecce26661417:33-1624
    19Pisa261121320:43-2315
    20Verona26291519:46-2715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B