Result
1:2
03/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 29
- Referee: Zivkovic A. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 10 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (277/378) | 71% (224/315) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (277/378) | 71% (224/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 48% (39/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (96/142) | 58% (54/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', Mboungou V. ↓, Savic D. ↑,
- 9', 0 - 1, Milosavic M. ⚽, Jovanovic S. (A),
- 23', 0 - 2, Satara M. ⚽,
- 29', Savic D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 67', Tasovski V. ↓, Bogdanovski N. ↑,
- 67', Bojat D. ↓, Sremcevic U. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Majdevac A. ⚽, Bastajic N. (A),
- 71', Bosic R. ↓, Roux B. ↑,
- 71', Milosavic M. ↓, Mladenovic S. ↑,
- 78', Radin M. 🟨,
- 82', Radin M. ↓, Mezei S. ↑,
- 82', Jovanovic S. ↓, Todoroski A. ↑,
- 82', Bastajic N. ↓, Toseski M. ↑,
- 85', Vukajlovic N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Napredak Kruševac
18% | Draw
26.1% | Bačka Topola
55.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Napredak Kruševac - Bačka Topola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.08 ↑
(4.5) |
3.57 ↑
(3.5) |
1.68 ↓
(1.82) |
7.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Napredak Kruševac - Bačka Topola?
Users Predictions:
Bačka Topola will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 0.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, Bačka Topola is a strong favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:33. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against Bačka Topola?
Napredak Kruševac has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bačka Topola won against Napredak Kruševac?
Bačka Topola has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napredak Kruševac - Bačka Topola were as follows:
02.11.2025
Bačka Topola
-
Napredak Kruševac
1:1
16.03.2025
Bačka Topola
-
Napredak Kruševac
4:2
27.10.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Bačka Topola
0:3
23.05.2024
Bačka Topola
-
Napredak Kruševac
6:0
07.03.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Bačka Topola
0:0
Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
Latest results of Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 87:23 | 64 | 75 |
| 2 | Vojvodina ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55:29 | 26 | 62 |
| 3 | Partizan ✔ | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 62:39 | 23 | 61 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo ✔ | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 42:30 | 12 | 51 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar ✔ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 47 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet ✔ | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:39 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Cukaricki ✔ | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 40 |
| 8 | Radnik | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 37:35 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | IMT Novi Beograd ✔ | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 37 |
| 10 | Radnicki 1923 | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | TSC ✔ | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 26:35 | -9 | 34 |
| 12 | Javor ✔ | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 29:39 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Radnicki Nis ✔ | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 | Mladost ✔ | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 23:46 | -23 | 32 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 30 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 26:65 | -39 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Zeleznicar Pancevo is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Cukaricki is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
IMT Novi Beograd is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
TSC is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Javor is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Radnicki Nis is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Mladost is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
