Matsumoto Yamaga vs Nara Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club
Result
3:0
12/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
16
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
711
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
27
Corner Kicks
16
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Kikui Y. ,
  • 19', 2 - 0, Murakoshi K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kawatani N. , Tamura R. ,
  • 46', Yu Y. , Hyakuda M. ,
  • 49', Nonomura T. 🟨,
  • 60', Yamamoto S. , Tamura S. ,
  • 68', Ogawa D. , Kawakami K. ,
  • 68', Yamamoto K. , Mawatari K. ,
  • 71', 3 - 0, Murakoshi K. ,
  • 73', Sugita H. , Miyabe T. ,
  • 75', Horiuchi H. , Morita R. ,
  • 78', Ikoma K. , Tsunami Y. ,
  • 80', Tsunami Y. 🟨,
  • 88', Murakoshi K. , Taki Y. ,
  • 88', Yasunaga R. , Ohashi H. ,

Chances of winning


Matsumoto Yamaga
48.3%
Draw
27%
Nara Club
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 28.6% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 28.5% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matsumoto Yamaga's performance.
  • Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nara Club might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matsumoto Yamaga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nara Club could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.72)
    3.46
    (3.16)
    3.77
    (2.35)
    7.1%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Nara Club will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Matsumoto Yamaga: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nara Club (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Matsumoto Yamaga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nara Club is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Matsumoto Yamaga could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Nara Club - Matsumoto Yamaga 2:1
    29.09.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club 1:1
    13.04.2024 Nara Club - Matsumoto Yamaga 2:2
    02.12.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club 0:1
    04.03.2023 Nara Club - Matsumoto Yamaga 0:2
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Latest results of Nara Club
    30.06.2025 Osaka - Nara Club 1:1
    21.06.2025 Nara Club - Tochigi City 2:1
    11.06.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nara Club 1:0
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure24155433:161750
    2Osaka24136536:191745
    3Tochigi City24136536:241245
    4Kagoshima Utd24128446:252144
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki24118533:26741
    6Nara Club24117633:25840
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu241031125:25033
    8Gainare Tottori24951023:25-232
    9Tochigi SC24951021:23-232
    10Yamaga2487926:28-231
    11Kochi United2487933:40-731
    12Fukushima Utd2487939:49-1031
    13Sagamihara2479824:30-630
    14Kanazawa24851127:31-429
    15Ryukyu24771024:27-328
    16Kusatsu2469932:35-327
    17Nagano24661217:32-1524
    18Kamatamare24571223:30-722
    19Gifu24481225:39-1420
    20Azul Claro Numazu24391225:32-718

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation