Result
3:0
12/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Kikui Y. ⚽,
- 19', 2 - 0, Murakoshi K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kawatani N. ↓, Tamura R. ↑,
- 46', Yu Y. ↓, Hyakuda M. ↑,
- 49', Nonomura T. 🟨,
- 60', Yamamoto S. ↓, Tamura S. ↑,
- 68', Ogawa D. ↓, Kawakami K. ↑,
- 68', Yamamoto K. ↓, Mawatari K. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 0, Murakoshi K. ⚽,
- 73', Sugita H. ↓, Miyabe T. ↑,
- 75', Horiuchi H. ↓, Morita R. ↑,
- 78', Ikoma K. ↓, Tsunami Y. ↑,
- 80', Tsunami Y. 🟨,
- 88', Murakoshi K. ↓, Taki Y. ↑,
- 88', Yasunaga R. ↓, Ohashi H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Matsumoto Yamaga
48.3% | Draw
27% | Nara Club
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matsumoto Yamaga's performance.Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nara Club might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-15.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matsumoto Yamaga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nara Club could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.72) |
3.46 ↑
(3.16) |
3.77 ↑
(2.35) |
7.1%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Nara Club will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Matsumoto Yamaga: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nara Club (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Matsumoto Yamaga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nara Club is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Matsumoto Yamaga could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Nara Club?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nara Club won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Nara Club has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club were as follows:
01.03.2025
Nara Club
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
2:1
29.09.2024
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Nara Club
1:1
13.04.2024
Nara Club
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
2:2
02.12.2023
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Nara Club
0:1
04.03.2023
Nara Club
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
0:2
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Latest results of Nara Club
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 43:18 | 25 | 69 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63:35 | 28 | 61 |
| 4 | Osaka | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 46:30 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:37 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 45:37 | 8 | 53 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 38:32 | 6 | 50 |
| 9 | Tochigi SC | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 2 | 49 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 51:62 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Sagamihara | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 43 |
| 12 | Gifu | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 33:42 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Yamaga | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Nagano | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:45 | -16 | 35 |
| 17 | Kochi United | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Kusatsu | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42:54 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 38:53 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 35:49 | -14 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
