Result
3:0
12/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Kikui Y. ⚽,
- 19', 2 - 0, Murakoshi K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kawatani N. ↓, Tamura R. ↑,
- 46', Yu Y. ↓, Hyakuda M. ↑,
- 49', Nonomura T. 🟨,
- 60', Yamamoto S. ↓, Tamura S. ↑,
- 68', Ogawa D. ↓, Kawakami K. ↑,
- 68', Yamamoto K. ↓, Mawatari K. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 0, Murakoshi K. ⚽,
- 73', Sugita H. ↓, Miyabe T. ↑,
- 75', Horiuchi H. ↓, Morita R. ↑,
- 78', Ikoma K. ↓, Tsunami Y. ↑,
- 80', Tsunami Y. 🟨,
- 88', Murakoshi K. ↓, Taki Y. ↑,
- 88', Yasunaga R. ↓, Ohashi H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Matsumoto Yamaga
48.3% | Draw
27% | Nara Club
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matsumoto Yamaga's performance.Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nara Club might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-15.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matsumoto Yamaga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nara Club could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.72) |
3.46 ↑
(3.16) |
3.77 ↑
(2.35) |
7.1%
(11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Nara Club will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Matsumoto Yamaga: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nara Club (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Matsumoto Yamaga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nara Club is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Matsumoto Yamaga could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Matsumoto Yamaga won against Nara Club?
Matsumoto Yamaga has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nara Club won against Matsumoto Yamaga?
Nara Club has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club were as follows:
01.03.2025
Nara Club
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
2:1
29.09.2024
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Nara Club
1:1
13.04.2024
Nara Club
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
2:2
02.12.2023
Matsumoto Yamaga
-
Nara Club
0:1
04.03.2023
Nara Club
-
Matsumoto Yamaga
0:2
Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
Latest results of Nara Club
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 31:15 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Osaka | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:16 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Tochigi City | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 44 |
| 4 | Kagoshima Utd | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 37:25 | 12 | 38 |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 35 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
| 7 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 25:23 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Kochi United | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 33:36 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Yamaga | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25:27 | -2 | 29 |
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 22:25 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Sagamihara | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Fukushima Utd | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 35:47 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:25 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Kanazawa | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 17:21 | -4 | 26 |
| 16 | Kusatsu | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 30:34 | -4 | 24 |
| 17 | Nagano | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 24 |
| 18 | Kamatamare | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 21:28 | -7 | 20 |
| 19 | Gifu | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 22:27 | -5 | 18 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
