Nardo vs Virtus Francavilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
16/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, D'Anna S. ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Garnica A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 3 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Nardo
39.1%
Draw
28.4%
Virtus Francavilla
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 28.3% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 27.2% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Nardo - Virtus Francavilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.28)
    3.19
    (3.2)
    2.79
    (2.82)
    10.3%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).
    • Recent performances by Nardo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Virtus Francavilla's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Nardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nardo - Virtus Francavilla were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Nardo - Virtus Francavilla 1:0
    Latest results of Nardo
    09.11.2025 Francavilla - Nardo 1:1
    02.11.2025 Nardo - Acerrana 4:0
    26.10.2025 Fidelis Andria - Nardo 0:0
    19.10.2025 Heraclea - Nardo 2:0
    12.10.2025 Nardo - Afragolese 3:0
    Latest results of Virtus Francavilla
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta281510343:162755
    2Paganese28165729:22753
    3Martina Calcio28157640:261452
    4Citta di Fasano28157639:291052
    5Afragolese28137842:33946
    6A.C.D. Nardo281112535:251045
    7Virtus Francavilla281110739:271243
    8Gravina281161133:37-439
    9Fidelis Andria281071129:25437
    10SS Nola 1925281071140:41-137
    11Real Normanna28812822:20236
    12Manfredonia28981129:33-435
    13Heraclea28961323:28-533
    14Sarnese287111040:41-132
    15Francavilla28871326:33-731
    16Ferrandina28671518:33-1525
    17Pompei28561714:31-1721
    18Acerrana28352015:56-4114

          Promotion
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          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation