Result
2:0
15/06/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 16
- Referee: Jaanovits J. (Est)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 62', Marin P. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Siht R. ⚽, Guilherme Smith (A),
- 69', Ivanov N. ↓, Musolitin O. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Patrikejevs I. ⚽, Musolitin O. (A),
- 78', Kabore P. ↓, Kozhushko M. ↑,
- 84', Tarassenkov D. ↓, Boronilstsikov A. ↑,
- 88', Maksimkin M. ↓, Elysee ↑,
- 88', Viidas S. ↓, Gonsevich O. ↑,
- 88', Filatov A. ↓, Kudriashov V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nõmme Kalju
52.1% | Draw
24.5% | Narva Trans
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Nõmme Kalju - Narva Trans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.87) |
3.74 ↓
(3.8) |
3.91 ↑
(3.31) |
9.1%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju - Narva Trans?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Nõmme Kalju will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Narva Trans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nõmme Kalju is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Nõmme Kalju will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:16. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:5. (average 1.9:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Narva Trans?
Nõmme Kalju has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Nõmme Kalju?
Narva Trans has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Narva Trans were as follows:
19.04.2025
Narva Trans
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:2
29.01.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Narva Trans
0:1
20.10.2024
Nõmme Kalju
-
Narva Trans
2:2
13.07.2024
Narva Trans
-
Nõmme Kalju
2:2
02.06.2024
Narva Trans
-
Nõmme Kalju
4:1
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Latest results of Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 51:16 | 35 | 50 |
| 2 | Flora | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:18 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Paide | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 33:18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Kalju | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Narva | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 27:44 | -17 | 19 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 9 | Harju JK Laagri | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 23:44 | -21 | 16 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 21:67 | -46 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
