Result
2:1
03/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 4
- Referee: Uprus T. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | ETV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Agaptsev S. ⚽, Ivanyushin A. (A),
- 39', Velijev M. ↓, Kudriashov V. ↑,
- 40', Agaptsev S. 🟨,
- 45+2', Filatov A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gero A. 🟨,
- 60', Kask K. ↓, Siht R. ↑,
- 60', Tarassenkov D. ↓, Borolinstsikov A. ↑,
- 60', Ivanov N. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Sotsugov D. ⚽, Orlov M. (A),
- 65', Maksimkin M. ↓, Poliakov D. ↑,
- 65', Skinjov A. ↓, Burjanadze S. ↑,
- 68', Burjanadze S. 🟨,
- 71', Doke J. ↓, Imeh J. ↑,
- 74', Kudriashov V. 🟨,
- 78', Vukusic R. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 1, Mannilaan M. ⚽,
- 86', Tambedou M. ↓, Korre U. ↑,
- 90+2', Vastsuk B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nõmme Kalju
63.3% | Draw
22.1% | Narva Trans
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nõmme Kalju's form might have worsened.Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nõmme Kalju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Nõmme Kalju - Narva Trans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.32) |
4.2 ↓
(4.55) |
6.4 ↓
(8.6) |
7.7%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju - Narva Trans?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 7 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -2 - Nõmme Kalju (2.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 2.
- Nõmme Kalju is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Narva Trans's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Narva Trans has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Nõmme Kalju is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Nõmme Kalju will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 1.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Narva Trans?
Nõmme Kalju has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Nõmme Kalju?
Narva Trans has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Narva Trans were as follows:
17.09.2025
Narva Trans
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:0
17.08.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Narva Trans
1:2
15.06.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Narva Trans
2:0
19.04.2025
Narva Trans
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:2
29.01.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Narva Trans
0:1
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Latest results of Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kalju | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Levadia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paide | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Harju JK Laagri | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Narva | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Tammeka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Flora | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Nomme Utd | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
| 10 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
