Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 2
- Referee: Pukk M. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Velijev M. 🟨,
- 14', Anier H. 🟨,
- 25', Poliakov D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Miller M. ↓, Daniel Cabral ↑,
- 60', Kozhushko M. ↓, Doke J. ↑,
- 60', Poliakov D. ↓, Elysee ↑,
- 69', Luts D. ↓, Piht K. ↑,
- 69', Jobarteh M. ↓, Nigula R. ↑,
- 75', Kudriashov V. ↓, Baljabkin N. ↑,
- 89', Pareiko D. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 0, Daniel Cabral ⚽,
- 90+8', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paide LM
55.7% | Draw
24% | Narva Trans
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Paide LM - Narva Trans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.71) |
3.84 ↑
(3.7) |
4.53 ↑
(4.11) |
8.6%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Paide LM - Narva Trans?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Paide will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Narva Trans will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paide (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Narva Trans (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paide (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Narva Trans (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Paide has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Paide is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paide won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Narva Trans?
Paide LM has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Paide LM?
Narva Trans has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paide LM - Narva Trans were as follows:
07.02.2026
Narva Trans
-
Paide LM
1:1
27.09.2025
Narva Trans
-
Paide LM
2:3
20.07.2025
Paide LM
-
Narva Trans
2:0
31.05.2025
Paide LM
-
Narva Trans
0:1
15.03.2025
Narva Trans
-
Paide LM
1:0
Latest results of Paide LM
Latest results of Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 17 | 21 |
| 2 | Kalju | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Paide | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Harju JK Laagri | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Flora | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 10 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Narva | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
