Result
1:1
26/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 26
- Referee: Nazhafaliev A. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Uzbekistan | MTRK Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Tukhtakhuzhaev I. 🟨,
- 38', Bozorov O. 🟨,
- 45', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 0, Abdurazzakov N. ⚽,
- 55', Abdurazzakov N. 🟨,
- 68', Shala A. ↓, Golban I. ↑,
- 72', Norchaev K. ↓, Colovic S. ↑,
- 73', Nasrullaev S. ↓, Sidikov J. ↑,
- 74', Nematov A. 🟨,
- 76', Akhrorov S. ↓, Mukimzhonov A. ↑,
- 76', Kholmurodov A. ↓, Abdurakhmonov A. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Ceran D. ⚽,
- 83', Abdurazzakov N. ↓, Senaga N. ↑,
- 83', Giyosov K. ↓, Sobirzhonov A. ↑,
- 87', Papava G. ↓, Sarimsakov A. ↑,
Chances of winning
AGMK
31.4% | Draw
28.5% | Nasaf Qarshi
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
AGMK - Nasaf Qarshi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↓
(3.08) |
3.2 ↑
(3.18) |
2.28 ↓
(2.32) |
9.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 0.
- Recent form of AGMK has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nasaf has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- AGMK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AGMK won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, AGMK won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has AGMK won against Nasaf Qarshi?
AGMK has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nasaf Qarshi won against AGMK?
Nasaf Qarshi has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGMK - Nasaf Qarshi were as follows:
23.05.2025
Nasaf Qarshi
-
AGMK
2:1
23.09.2024
Nasaf Qarshi
-
AGMK
2:0
07.05.2024
AGMK
-
Nasaf Qarshi
3:4
01.12.2023
AGMK
-
Nasaf Qarshi
1:1
12.11.2023
Nasaf Qarshi
-
AGMK
1:0
Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 26 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 50:20 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Neftchi Fargona | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Pakhtakor | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 53:20 | 33 | 52 |
| 4 | Din. Samarkand | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 39:28 | 11 | 47 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 42:31 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | OKMK | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
| 7 | Navbahor Namangan | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:33 | -11 | 32 |
| 9 | Sogdiana | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Kokand 1912 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 29 |
| 11 | Andijan | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:31 | -3 | 24 |
| 14 | Buxoro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Mashal Muborak | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19:45 | -26 | 23 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19:49 | -30 | 12 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
