Result
2:3
29/09/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Peru | Disney+ |
Russia | TV Start |
Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Suriname | SCCN |
Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (281/367) | 87% (520/601) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 4.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (281/367) | 87% (520/601) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (23/62) | 64% (41/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (60/97) | 77% (144/186) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 33% (9/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.01 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.01 | -1.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Bakhromov S. ⚽, Eshmurodov U. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Hernandez T. ⚽, Al Bulayhi A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mukhitdinov S. ↓, Ceran D. ↑,
- 46', Golban I. ↓, Sidikov J. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 2, Sidikov J. ⚽, Eshmurodov U. (A),
- 67', Abdirakhmatov Z. ↓, Nurulloev S. ↑,
- 72', Al Bulayhi A. ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
- 73', Sidikov J. ↓, Ubaydullayev J. ↑,
- 78', Bozorov O. ↓, Colovic S. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 3, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Milinkovic-Savic S. (A),
- 85', Kanno M. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
- 85', Al Hamdan A. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
- 90+1', Al Yami H. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
- 90+1', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Radif A. ↑,
- 90+7', Neves R. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/42fycthk
Chances of winning
Nasaf Qarshi 11.3% | Draw 18.5% | Al-Hilal 70.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.6 ↑ (7.65) |
5.27 ↑ (4.98) |
1.39 ↑ (1.32) |
2.7% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Nasaf will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Al-Hilal will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 77.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Hilal will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Hilal is the clear favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Nasaf Qarshi won against Al-Hilal?
Nasaf Qarshi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Nasaf Qarshi?
Al-Hilal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal were as follows:
Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
Latest results of Al-Hilal
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 1 |