Nasaf Qarshi vs Al-Hilal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal
Result
2:3
29/09/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
surinameSurinameSCCN
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.182.69
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
517
Shots on target
311
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
07
Passes
77% (281/367)87% (520/601)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.182.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.314.01
Total shots
517
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
212
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
07
Touches in opposition box
933
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
710
Passes
77% (281/367)87% (520/601)
Long passes
37% (23/62)64% (41/64)
Passes in final third
62% (60/97)77% (144/186)
Crosses
10% (1/10)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.201.11
Throw-ins
1714
Fouls
107
Tackles
67% (6/9)87% (13/15)
Duels won
3048
Clearances
2917
Interceptions
1014
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
70
xGOT faced
4.010.31
Goals prevented
1.01-1.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Milinkovic-Savic S. ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Bakhromov S. , Eshmurodov U. (A),
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Hernandez T. , Al Bulayhi A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mukhitdinov S. , Ceran D. ,
  • 46', Golban I. , Sidikov J. ,
  • 60', 2 - 2, Sidikov J. , Eshmurodov U. (A),
  • 67', Abdirakhmatov Z. , Nurulloev S. ,
  • 72', Al Bulayhi A. , Kaio Cesar ,
  • 73', Sidikov J. , Ubaydullayev J. ,
  • 78', Bozorov O. , Colovic S. ,
  • 79', 2 - 3, Marcos Leonardo , Milinkovic-Savic S. (A),
  • 85', Kanno M. , Al Dawsari N. ,
  • 85', Al Hamdan A. , Lajami A. ,
  • 90+1', Al Yami H. , Al Harbi M. ,
  • 90+1', Marcos Leonardo , Radif A. ,
  • 90+7', Neves R. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/42fycthk

Official Live

Chances of winning


Nasaf Qarshi
11.3%
Draw
18.5%
Al-Hilal
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12% 18.4% 69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6% 17.8% 71.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.6
    (7.65)
    5.27
    (4.98)
    1.39
    (1.32)
    2.7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nasaf will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Al-Hilal will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 77.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Hilal is the clear favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    25.09.2025 Al-Hilal - Al Akhdoud 3:1
    22.09.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Hilal 0:1
    19.09.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal 3:3
    16.09.2025 Al-Hilal - Al Duhail 2:1
    13.09.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya 2:2
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ulsan HD32104:227
    2Vissel Kobe32017:436
    3Gangwon32016:516
    4Machida31203:125
    5Shanghai Shenhua31114:314
    6Seoul31114:314
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima31113:214
    8Johor DT31113:214
    9Melbourne City31022:4-23
    10Chengdu Rongcheng31022:4-23
    11Buriram31023:6-33
    12Shanghai Port30121:6-51


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal33008:449
    2Al Ahli SC321010:467
    3Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai32106:247
    4Al Wahda32105:237
    5Tractor31206:155
    6Al Sharjah31115:9-44
    7Al Ittihad31025:413
    8Al-Gharafa31025:8-33
    9Al-Sadd30213:5-22
    10Al-Duhail30124:7-31
    11Al Shorta30122:7-51
    12Nasaf Qarshi30035:11-60

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