Shabab Al-Ahli vs Nasaf Qarshi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
21/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
ukraineUkraineSport 3
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.26
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
84% (396/471)82% (385/467)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.690.52
Total shots
217
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
3111
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
146
Passes
84% (396/471)82% (385/467)
Long passes
39% (14/36)43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
69% (94/136)71% (77/109)
Crosses
35% (6/17)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.31
Throw-ins
1021
Fouls
614
Tackles
71% (10/14)63% (5/8)
Duels won
4121
Clearances
2018
Interceptions
1313
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.521.69
Goals prevented
-0.48-2.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Cartabia F. , Guilherme (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Abdirakhmatov Z. , Bakhromov S. (A),
  • 21', Abdirakhmatov Z. 🟨,
  • 26', Nasrullaev S. 🟨,
  • 27', 2 - 1, Renan , Cartabia F. (A),
  • 41', 3 - 1, Mateusao , Ezatolahi S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mukhammadiev S. , Colovic S. ,
  • 46', Mukhitdinov S. , Bozorov O. ,
  • 62', Golban I. , Sidikov J. ,
  • 62', Shala A. , Norchaev K. ,
  • 71', Seifi M. , Gomes I. ,
  • 72', Mateus Henrique , Kauan Santos ,
  • 72', Mateusao , Breno ,
  • 72', Sidikov J. 🟨,
  • 80', Abdirakhmatov Z. , Abdunazarov D. ,
  • 85', Ezatolahi S. , Garcia D. ,
  • 88', Dabbur M. , Thiago ,
  • 90+1', Davronov A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 4 - 1, Breno , Guilherme (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/vvjwucdk

Chances of winning


Shabab Al-Ahli
69.9%
Draw
18.3%
Nasaf Qarshi
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 22% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7% 20.4% 18.2%

Shabab Al-Ahli - Nasaf Qarshi Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.36
(1.51)
5.16
(4.19)
8.06
(5.47)
5.6%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Shabab Al-Ahli - Nasaf Qarshi?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shabab Al-Ahli: 68.4%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shabab Al-Ahli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nasaf is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Shabab Al-Ahli is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Shabab Al-Ahli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shabab Al-Ahli - Nasaf Qarshi were as follows:
    04.12.2024 Shabab Al-Ahli - Nasaf Qarshi 3:2
    02.10.2024 Nasaf Qarshi - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:1
    Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli
    Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
    16.10.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Kokand 1912 3:0
    04.10.2025 Bunyodkor - Nasaf Qarshi 2:2
    29.09.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal 2:3
    21.09.2025 Qizilqum - Nasaf Qarshi 0:1
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe540110:4612
    2Melbourne City53026:519
    3Seoul52217:438
    4Machida52217:438
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima52215:328
    6Ulsan HD52214:318
    7Johor DT52126:517
    8Buriram52125:6-17
    9Gangwon52037:9-26
    10Chengdu Rongcheng51223:5-25
    11Shanghai Shenhua51135:8-34
    12Shanghai Port50142:11-91


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 550014:5915
    2Al Wahda ✔ 541010:4613
    3Tractor53208:1711
    4Al Ahli SC531112:6610
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai53119:6310
    6Al-Duhail521212:1027
    7Al Sharjah52126:12-67
    8Al Ittihad520310:826
    9Al-Gharafa51046:12-63
    10Al-Sadd50235:10-52
    11Al Shorta50142:12-101
    12Nasaf Qarshi50056:14-80

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)