Shabab Al-Ahli vs Nasaf Qarshi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Rashid Stadium (Dubai).

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 3
World	Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	0.26
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
21	7
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
11	2
Passes
84% (396/471)	82% (385/467)
Yellow Cards
0	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	0.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.69	0.52
Total shots
21	7
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
14	4
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
11	2
Touches in opposition box
31	11
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
14	6
Passes
84% (396/471)	82% (385/467)
Long passes
39% (14/36)	43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
69% (94/136)	71% (77/109)
Crosses
35% (6/17)	8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.37	0.31
Throw-ins
10	21
Fouls
6	14
Tackles
71% (10/14)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
41	21
Clearances
20	18
Interceptions
13	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.52	1.69
Goals prevented
-0.48	-2.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Cartabia F. ⚽, Guilherme (A),
10', 1 - 1, Abdirakhmatov Z. ⚽, Bakhromov S. (A),
21', Abdirakhmatov Z. 🟨,
26', Nasrullaev S. 🟨,
27', 2 - 1, Renan ⚽, Cartabia F. (A),
41', 3 - 1, Mateusao ⚽, Ezatolahi S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mukhammadiev S. ↓, Colovic S. ↑,
46', Mukhitdinov S. ↓, Bozorov O. ↑,
62', Golban I. ↓, Sidikov J. ↑,
62', Shala A. ↓, Norchaev K. ↑,
71', Seifi M. ↓, Gomes I. ↑,
72', Mateus Henrique ↓, Kauan Santos ↑,
72', Mateusao ↓, Breno ↑,
72', Sidikov J. 🟨,
80', Abdirakhmatov Z. ↓, Abdunazarov D. ↑,
85', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
88', Dabbur M. ↓, Thiago ↑,
90+1', Davronov A. 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 1, Breno ⚽, Guilherme (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/vvjwucdk

Chances of winning

Shabab Al-Ahli
69.9%

Draw
18.3%

Nasaf Qarshi
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

20.4%

18.2%

Shabab Al-Ahli - Nasaf Qarshi Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.51)	5.16 ↑ (4.19)	8.06 ↑ (5.47)	5.6% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Shabab Al-Ahli - Nasaf Qarshi?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shabab Al-Ahli: 68.4% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Shabab Al-Ahli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Nasaf is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Shabab Al-Ahli is the obvious favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Including home match between the teams, Shabab Al-Ahli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Nasaf Qarshi?

Shabab Al-Ahli has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nasaf Qarshi won against Shabab Al-Ahli?

Nasaf Qarshi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shabab Al-Ahli - Nasaf Qarshi were as follows:

04.12.2024 Shabab Al-Ahli - Nasaf Qarshi 3:2

02.10.2024 Nasaf Qarshi - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:1

Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli

17.10.2025 Ittihad Kalba - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:0 ✺

30.09.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1 ✺

25.09.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1 ✺

16.09.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Tractor Sazi 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi

16.10.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Kokand 1912 3:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Bunyodkor - Nasaf Qarshi 2:2 ✺

29.09.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal 2:3 ✺

25.09.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Xorazm Urganch 2:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Qizilqum - Nasaf Qarshi 0:1 ✺

AFC Champions League Table

League phase

East

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	4	3	0	1	8:4	4	9
2	Johor DT	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7
4	Ulsan HD	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
5	Gangwon	4	2	0	2	6:6	0	6
6	Buriram	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6
7	Melbourne City	4	2	0	2	4:5	-1	6
8	Seoul	4	1	2	1	4:3	1	5
9	Machida	4	1	2	1	4:3	1	5
10	Shanghai Shenhua	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
11	Chengdu Rongcheng	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
12	Shanghai Port	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

West

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Hilal	4	4	0	0	10:5	5	12
2	Al Ahli SC	4	3	1	0	12:5	7	10
3	Al Wahda	4	3	1	0	7:3	4	10
4	Tractor	4	2	2	0	7:1	6	8
5	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	4	2	1	1	7:6	1	7
6	Al Ittihad	4	2	0	2	8:4	4	6
7	Al-Duhail	4	1	1	2	8:8	0	4
8	Al Sharjah	4	1	1	2	5:12	-7	4
9	Al-Gharafa	4	1	0	3	6:10	-4	3
10	Al-Sadd	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2
11	Al Shorta	4	0	1	3	2:8	-6	1
12	Nasaf Qarshi	4	0	0	4	6:13	-7	0

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)