New York City vs Nashville SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.29
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
82% (339/411)84% (290/345)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.900.88
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
82% (339/411)84% (290/345)
Long passes
36% (12/33)43% (16/37)
Passes in final third
68% (89/131)58% (32/55)
Crosses
7% (1/14)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.73
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
1012
Tackles
75% (18/24)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
1022
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.880.90
Goals prevented
-0.12-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Shaffelburg J. , Mukhtar H. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 1, Perea A. , Wolf H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Tagseth E. 🟨,
  • 58', Moralez M. 🟨,
  • 64', Wolf H. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 68', Perez J. , Carleton A. ,
  • 73', Tagseth E. , Brugman G. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Martinez A. , Ojeda A. (A), Moralez M. (A2)
  • 80', Moralez M. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 80', Maher J. , Zimmerman W. ,
  • 80', Shaffelburg J. , Bunbury T. ,
  • 82', Martinez A. 🟨,
  • 82', Surridge S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Martinez A. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 90+4', Perea A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
38.9%
Draw
27.1%
Nashville SC
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 27.7% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 27% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • New York City - Nashville SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.25)
    3.47
    (3.4)
    2.8
    (3.1)
    5.7%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for New York City - Nashville SC?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nashville will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in NY City: Thiago Martins (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Ekk M. (Knee Injury) Muyl A. (Yellow Cards) Schmitt T. (Hamstring Injury) Washington T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Gray T. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, NY City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Nashville SC were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Nashville SC - New York City 2:2
    06.10.2024 New York City - Nashville SC 3:1
    22.06.2024 Nashville SC - New York City 1:0
    15.04.2023 New York City - Nashville SC 2:1
    25.02.2023 Nashville SC - New York City 2:0
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC54108:0813
    2Vancouver Whitecaps540114:21212
    3San Jose Earthquakes54017:1612
    4San Diego FC532013:5811
    5Seattle Sounders53115:2310
    6Real Salt Lake53119:7210
    7Colorado Rapids530211:749
    8FC Dallas522110:918
    9Houston Dynamo42028:9-16
    10Los Angeles Galaxy51227:8-15
    11Austin FC51225:7-25
    12Minnesota United51224:11-75
    13St. Louis City51134:7-34
    14Portland Timbers51137:12-54
    15Sporting Kansas City51135:11-64


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
    7Toronto FC52126:8-27
    8New York Red Bulls52125:11-67
    9FC Cincinnati52037:11-46
    10Atlanta Utd51135:8-34
    11New England Revolution41038:9-13
    12CF Montreal51047:14-73
    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

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