Result
2:1
17/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (339/411) | 84% (290/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (339/411) | 84% (290/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (12/33) | 43% (16/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (89/131) | 58% (32/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Shaffelburg J. ⚽, Mukhtar H. (A),
- 40', 1 - 1, Perea A. ⚽, Wolf H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Tagseth E. 🟨,
- 58', Moralez M. 🟨,
- 64', Wolf H. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
- 68', Perez J. ↓, Carleton A. ↑,
- 73', Tagseth E. ↓, Brugman G. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽, Ojeda A. (A), Moralez M. (A2)
- 80', Moralez M. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 80', Maher J. ↓, Zimmerman W. ↑,
- 80', Shaffelburg J. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
- 82', Martinez A. 🟨,
- 82', Surridge S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Martinez A. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
- 90+4', Perea A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
New York City
38.9% | Draw
27.1% | Nashville SC
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
New York City - Nashville SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.25) |
3.47 ↑
(3.4) |
2.8 ↓
(3.1) |
5.7%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for New York City - Nashville SC?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nashville will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in NY City: Thiago Martins
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T.
(Knee Injury)
Ekk M.
(Knee Injury)
Muyl A.
(Yellow Cards)
Schmitt T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Washington T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in NY City: Gray T.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, NY City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Nashville SC?
New York City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against New York City?
Nashville SC has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Nashville SC were as follows:
31.05.2025
Nashville SC
-
New York City
2:2
06.10.2024
New York City
-
Nashville SC
3:1
22.06.2024
Nashville SC
-
New York City
1:0
15.04.2023
New York City
-
Nashville SC
2:1
25.02.2023
Nashville SC
-
New York City
2:0
Latest results of New York City
Latest results of Nashville SC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 52 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44:30 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 41 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:37 | -2 | 37 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 36:41 | -5 | 36 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 35 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 38:46 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 21 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 29:55 | -26 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 42:34 | 8 | 52 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 47 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 53:35 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 53:39 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 42:37 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | New York City | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 41 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 39 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 39 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33:37 | -4 | 28 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 31:49 | -18 | 22 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25:48 | -23 | 20 |
| 15 | DC United | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 23:52 | -29 | 20 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
