New York City vs Nashville SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.29
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
82% (339/411)84% (290/345)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.900.88
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
82% (339/411)84% (290/345)
Long passes
36% (12/33)43% (16/37)
Passes in final third
68% (89/131)58% (32/55)
Crosses
7% (1/14)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.73
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
1012
Tackles
75% (18/24)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
1022
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.880.90
Goals prevented
-0.12-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Shaffelburg J. , Mukhtar H. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 1, Perea A. , Wolf H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Tagseth E. 🟨,
  • 58', Moralez M. 🟨,
  • 64', Wolf H. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 68', Perez J. , Carleton A. ,
  • 73', Tagseth E. , Brugman G. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Martinez A. , Ojeda A. (A), Moralez M. (A2)
  • 80', Moralez M. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 80', Maher J. , Zimmerman W. ,
  • 80', Shaffelburg J. , Bunbury T. ,
  • 82', Martinez A. 🟨,
  • 82', Surridge S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Martinez A. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 90+4', Perea A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
38.9%
Draw
27.1%
Nashville SC
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 27.7% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 27% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • New York City - Nashville SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.25)
    3.47
    (3.4)
    2.8
    (3.1)
    5.7%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for New York City - Nashville SC?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nashville will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in NY City: Thiago Martins (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Ekk M. (Knee Injury) Muyl A. (Yellow Cards) Schmitt T. (Hamstring Injury) Washington T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Gray T. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, NY City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Nashville SC were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Nashville SC - New York City 2:2
    06.10.2024 New York City - Nashville SC 3:1
    22.06.2024 Nashville SC - New York City 1:0
    15.04.2023 New York City - Nashville SC 2:1
    25.02.2023 Nashville SC - New York City 2:0
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

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