Michael Van Gerwen vs Nathan Aspinall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Butlin's Minehead Resort (Minehead).

UK Open - Second stage - 1/32-finals

Chances of winning

Michael Van Gerwen
51.5%

Nathan Aspinall
48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Michael Van Gerwen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Nathan Aspinall have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.81)		1.92 (1.92)	8.1% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

Preview Facts

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 14.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 1.
Both players have been playing unpredictably.
Aspinall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 133:123. (average 6.7:6.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Michael Van Gerwen won against Nathan Aspinall?

Michael Van Gerwen has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nathan Aspinall won against Michael Van Gerwen?

Nathan Aspinall has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall were as follows:

22.05.2025 Nathan Aspinall - Michael Van Gerwen 6:2

15.05.2025 Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall 3:6

10.04.2025 Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall 2:6

27.03.2025 Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall 5:6

13.03.2025 Nathan Aspinall - Michael Van Gerwen 4:6

Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen

05.03.2026 Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Humphries 1:6 ✺

26.02.2026 Michael Van Gerwen - Gerwyn Price 5:6 ✺

19.02.2026 Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Littler Littler L. ✺

12.02.2026 Michael Van Gerwen - Josh Rock 6:2 ✺

10.02.2026 Michael Van Gerwen - Charlie Manby 6:3 ✺

Latest results of Nathan Aspinall

22.02.2026 Gian Van Veen - Nathan Aspinall 6:5 ✺

21.02.2026 Nathan Aspinall - Darryl Pilgrim 6:3 ✺

31.01.2026 Gian Van Veen - Nathan Aspinall 4:2 ✺

29.01.2026 Nathan Aspinall - Shane Mcguirk 3:1 ✺

20.01.2026 Nathan Aspinall - Man Lok Leung 6:4 ✺

Draw

Second stage

1/32-finals

1	Suljovic M.	Wattimena J.	10 : 5
2	Bunting S.	Tricole T.	10 : 5
3	Rock J.	O'Connor W.	10 : 9
4	Culleton N.	Gruellich D.	8 : 10
5	van Duijvenbode D.	Anderson G.	6 : 10
6	Cullen J.	Schindler M.	8 : 10
7	Doets K.	de Graaf J.	10 : 5
8	Littler L.	Heta D.	10 : 3
9	Gotthardt K.	Sykes T.	10 : 8
10	van Gerwen M.	Aspinall N.	10 : 8
11	Veenstra R.	Clemens G.	9 : 10
12	Dobey C.	Wade J.	9 : 10
13	Woodhouse L.	Humphries L.	3 : 10
14	Chisnall D.	Campbell S.	10 : 5
15	Menzies C.	Wright P.	6 : 10
16	Van den Bergh D.	Noppert D.	4 : 10
17	Lukeman M.	Edhouse R.	10 : 6
18	Long J.	Razma M.	9 : 10
19	Scutt C.	Pilgrim D.	5 : 10
20	Clayton J.	Merkx A.	10 : 2
21	Smith R.	Gilding A.	10 : 4
22	Gurney D.	Zonneveld N.	10 : 7
23	De Decker M.	Lipscombe A.	10 : 8
24	Cross R.	van Veen G.	10 : 7
25	van Barneveld R.	Nijman W.	1 : 10
26	Ritchie G.	Price G.	3 : 10
27	Joyce R.	Manby C.	10 : 6
28	Coates H.	Barry K.	2 : 10
29	Boulton A.	Searle R.	7 : 10
30	Smith M.	Weber L.	10 : 8
31	Lukasiak O.	Pratnemer B.	10 : 7
32	Ratajski K.	Evans R.	10 : 4

1/16-finals

1	Suljovic M.	Bunting S.	2 : 10
2	Rock J.	Gruellich D.	10 : 7
3	Anderson G.	Schindler M.	10 : 7
4	Doets K.	Littler L.	8 : 10
5	Gotthardt K.	van Gerwen M.	6 : 10
6	Clemens G.	Wade J.	2 : 10
7	Humphries L.	Chisnall D.	10 : 4
8	Wright P.	Noppert D.	2 : 10
9	Lukeman M.	Razma M.	10 : 3
10	Pilgrim D.	Clayton J.	7 : 10
11	Smith R.	Gurney D.	8 : 10
12	De Decker M.	Cross R.	9 : 10
13	Nijman W.	Price G.	5 : 10
14	Joyce R.	Barry K.	7 : 10
15	Searle R.	Smith M.	10 : 9
16	Lukasiak O.	Ratajski K.	5 : 10

1/8-finals

1	Bunting S.	Rock J.	7 : 10
2	Anderson G.	Littler L.	5 : 10
3	van Gerwen M.	Wade J.	3 : 10
4	Humphries L.	Noppert D.
5	Lukeman M.	Clayton J.	7 : 10
6	Gurney D.	Cross R.	6 : 10
7	Price G.	Barry K.	10 : 9
8	Searle R.	Ratajski K.	5 : 10