Result
10:8
06/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- UK Open - Second stage - 1/32-finals
Chances of winning
Michael Van Gerwen
51.5% | Nathan Aspinall
48.5% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Michael Van Gerwen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Nathan Aspinall have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.81) |
|
1.92
(1.92) |
8.1%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 16.50
Preview Facts
- Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 14.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 1.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Aspinall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 133:123. (average 6.7:6.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Michael Van Gerwen won against Nathan Aspinall?
Michael Van Gerwen has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nathan Aspinall won against Michael Van Gerwen?
Nathan Aspinall has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall were as follows:
22.05.2025
Nathan Aspinall
-
Michael Van Gerwen
6:2
15.05.2025
Michael Van Gerwen
-
Nathan Aspinall
3:6
10.04.2025
Michael Van Gerwen
-
Nathan Aspinall
2:6
27.03.2025
Michael Van Gerwen
-
Nathan Aspinall
5:6
13.03.2025
Nathan Aspinall
-
Michael Van Gerwen
4:6
Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen
Latest results of Nathan Aspinall
Draw
Second stage1/32-finals| 1 | Smith R. | Gilding A. | 10 : 4 |
| 2 | Gurney D. | Zonneveld N. | 10 : 7 |
| 3 | Suljovic M. | Wattimena J. | 10 : 5 |
| 4 | Bunting S. | Tricole T. | 10 : 5 |
| 5 | Doets K. | de Graaf J. | 10 : 5 |
| 6 | Littler L. | Heta D. | 10 : 3 |
| 7 | van Duijvenbode D. | Anderson G. | 6 : 10 |
| 8 | Cullen J. | Schindler M. | 8 : 10 |
| 9 | Rock J. | O'Connor W. | 10 : 9 |
| 10 | Culleton N. | Gruellich D. | 8 : 10 |
| 11 | Scutt C. | Pilgrim D. | 5 : 10 |
| 12 | Clayton J. | Merkx A. | 10 : 2 |
| 13 | Menzies C. | Wright P. | 6 : 10 |
| 14 | Van den Bergh D. | Noppert D. | 4 : 10 |
| 15 | Gotthardt K. | Sykes T. | 10 : 8 |
| 16 | van Gerwen M. | Aspinall N. | 10 : 8 |
| 17 | Joyce R. | Manby C. | 10 : 6 |
| 18 | Coates H. | Barry K. | 2 : 10 |
| 19 | Lukeman M. | Edhouse R. | 10 : 6 |
| 20 | Long J. | Razma M. | 9 : 10 |
| 21 | Veenstra R. | Clemens G. | 9 : 10 |
| 22 | Dobey C. | Wade J. | 9 : 10 |
| 23 | Boulton A. | Searle R. | 7 : 10 |
| 24 | Smith M. | Weber L. | 10 : 8 |
| 25 | Lukasiak O. | Pratnemer B. | 10 : 7 |
| 26 | Ratajski K. | Evans R. | 10 : 4 |
| 27 | Woodhouse L. | Humphries L. | 3 : 10 |
| 28 | Chisnall D. | Campbell S. | 10 : 5 |
| 29 | van Barneveld R. | Nijman W. | 1 : 10 |
| 30 | Ritchie G. | Price G. | 3 : 10 |
| 31 | De Decker M. | Lipscombe A. | 10 : 8 |
| 32 | Cross R. | van Veen G. | 10 : 7 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Smith R. | Gurney D. | 8 : 10 |
| 2 | Suljovic M. | Bunting S. | 2 : 10 |
| 3 | Doets K. | Littler L. | 8 : 10 |
| 4 | Anderson G. | Schindler M. | 10 : 7 |
| 5 | Rock J. | Gruellich D. | 10 : 7 |
| 6 | Pilgrim D. | Clayton J. | 7 : 10 |
| 7 | Wright P. | Noppert D. | 2 : 10 |
| 8 | Gotthardt K. | van Gerwen M. | 6 : 10 |
| 9 | Joyce R. | Barry K. | 7 : 10 |
| 10 | Lukeman M. | Razma M. | 10 : 3 |
| 11 | Clemens G. | Wade J. | 2 : 10 |
| 12 | Searle R. | Smith M. | 10 : 9 |
| 13 | Lukasiak O. | Ratajski K. | 5 : 10 |
| 14 | Humphries L. | Chisnall D. | 10 : 4 |
| 15 | Nijman W. | Price G. | 5 : 10 |
| 16 | De Decker M. | Cross R. | 9 : 10 |
