Result
2:0
21/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Vinicius Guedes 🟨,
- 35', Vinicius 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', Igor Fernandes 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 0, Paulo Sergio ⚽,
- 64', Carlinhos 🟨,
- 69', 🟨,
- 69', Eduardo Melo ↓, Welder ↑,
- 69', Guilherme Mantuan ↓, Yann Rolim ↑,
- 70', Calyson ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
- 75', Lucas Cardoso ↓, Patrick Allan ↑,
- 76', Iago 🟨,
- 76', Igor Pereira 🟨,
- 82', Marco Antonio ↓, Auremir ↑,
- 82', Paulo Sergio ↓, Bruno Mezenga ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Vinicius ⚽,
- 84', Tomas Bastos 🟨,
- 87', Iago ↓, Douglas Skilo ↑,
- 87', Marcelo ↓, Kelvyn ↑,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+2', Helio Borges ↓, Kelvin ↑,
- 90+2', Igor Pereira ↓, Samuel ↑,
Chances of winning
Náutico Capibaribe
45.4% | Draw
30.6% | Caxias
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Náutico Capibaribe - Caxias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.1) |
2.98 ↓
(3.3) |
3.8 ↑
(3.35) |
9.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Caxias?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Caxias will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Náutico (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Náutico (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Náutico (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Náutico (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Náutico (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- In recent matches, Náutico has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Caxias is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Náutico is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Náutico won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
- Including home match between the teams, Náutico won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Caxias?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Caxias has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Caxias were as follows:
09.06.2024
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Caxias
2:2
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ituano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Maringa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Brusque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Paysandu PA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Amazonas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Figueirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Guarani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Maranhao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Ypiranga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | SER Caxias | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Confianca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Barra FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Anapolis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
