Náutico Capibaribe vs Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Náutico Capibaribe - Caxias
Result
2:0
21/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
70
Corner Kicks
85
Yellow Cards
63
Total shots
156
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
85
Goalkeeper Saves
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Vinicius Guedes 🟨,
  • 35', Vinicius 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', Igor Fernandes 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 0, Paulo Sergio ,
  • 64', Carlinhos 🟨,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 69', Eduardo Melo , Welder ,
  • 69', Guilherme Mantuan , Yann Rolim ,
  • 70', Calyson , Jhonatan Ribeiro ,
  • 75', Lucas Cardoso , Patrick Allan ,
  • 76', Iago 🟨,
  • 76', Igor Pereira 🟨,
  • 82', Marco Antonio , Auremir ,
  • 82', Paulo Sergio , Bruno Mezenga ,
  • 83', 2 - 0, Vinicius ,
  • 84', Tomas Bastos 🟨,
  • 87', Iago , Douglas Skilo ,
  • 87', Marcelo , Kelvyn ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+2', Helio Borges , Kelvin ,
  • 90+2', Igor Pereira , Samuel ,

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
45.4%
Draw
30.6%
Caxias
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 28.1% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 29.5% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.1)
    2.98
    (3.3)
    3.8
    (3.35)
    9.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Caxias?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Caxias will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Náutico (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • In recent matches, Náutico has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Caxias is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Náutico is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Náutico won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Náutico won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Caxias were as follows:
    09.06.2024 Náutico Capibaribe - Caxias 2:2
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Caxias
    13.07.2025 Caxias - Anápolis 1:0
    05.07.2025 CS Alagoano - Caxias 2:3
    29.06.2025 Caxias - Ituano 2:1
    14.06.2025 Botafogo PB - Caxias 1:2
    31.05.2025 Caxias - Londrina 4:2
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    Second stage

    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Londrina30303:303
    2Sao Bernardo30302:203
    3SER Caxias30301:103
    4Floresta EC30300:003


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ponte Preta43104:1310
    2Guarani42025:416
    3Nautico41122:4-24
    4Brusque41033:5-23

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