Náutico Capibaribe vs Maringá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
49
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
97
Corner Kicks
55
Goalkeeper Saves
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Igor Pereira ,
  • 17', Vilar 🟨,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Patrick Allan ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mateus Silva , Rayan ,
  • 46', Pingo , Vinicius Amaral ,
  • 46', Vitinho , Jhow Alecxander ,
  • 47', Igor Pereira 🟨,
  • 50', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Edison Negueba (Pen),
  • 63', Moraes , Rai Natalino ,
  • 63', Cristovam , Robertinho ,
  • 64', Kelvin , Wenderson ,
  • 64', Patrick Allan , Helio Borges ,
  • 69', Bruno Mezenga , Kayon ,
  • 75', Buga 🟨,
  • 79', Igor Pereira , Otusanya O. ,
  • 83', Buga , Bruno Cheron ,
  • 89', Carlinhos 🟨,

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
39.7%
Draw
29.8%
Maringá
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.6% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 27.4% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Maringá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.19)
    3.06
    (3.17)
    2.99
    (3)
    9.9%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Maringá?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Maringá (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Maringá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Maringá
    01.06.2025 Maringá - Ituano 1:1
    25.05.2025 Anápolis - Maringá 1:1
    18.05.2025 Maringá - Botafogo PB 1:1
    11.05.2025 CS Alagoano - Maringá 3:2
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amazonas44007:0712
    2Brusque43108:5310
    3Guarani52307:439
    4Paysandu PA42207:348
    5Floresta EC42205:328
    6Inter de Limeira52217:618
    7Ypiranga FC42117:437
    8Ituano42117:527
    9Botafogo PB42025:416
    10SER Caxias42024:406
    11Maringa FC42029:10-16
    12Barra FC41216:425
    13Santa Cruz51132:4-24
    14Figueirense41125:8-34
    15Maranhao41123:7-44
    16Volta Redonda41032:5-33
    17Confianca51042:5-33
    18Anapolis41034:8-43
    19Ferroviaria40224:7-32
    20Itabaiana40133:8-51

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D