Ceará vs Náutico Capibaribe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Ceará
50.4%
Draw
28.5%
Náutico Capibaribe
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 28.4% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 27.6% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Ceará - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.83)
    3.26
    (3.29)
    4.37
    (4.56)
    7.4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Náutico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ceará is the team to beat.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
    22.01.2025 Náutico Capibaribe - Ceará 1:0
    14.02.2024 Náutico Capibaribe - Ceará 0:0
    Latest results of Ceará
    08.04.2026 Ceará - Fortaleza 2:0
    04.04.2026 Cuiabá - Ceará 0:2
    01.04.2026 Ponte Preta - Ceará 1:1
    28.03.2026 Retrô Brasil - Ceará 3:1
    25.03.2026 Ceará - ABC 1:1
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias32106:337
    2Avai32103:037
    3Operario-PR32103:127
    4Botafogo SP32017:346
    5Nautico32013:216
    6Ceara31204:225
    7Vila Nova FC31205:415
    8Athletic Club31204:315
    9Sport Recife31203:215
    10Londrina31116:514
    11Sao Bernardo31114:404
    12Criciuma31112:204
    13Fortaleza31112:5-34
    14CRB30213:4-12
    15Novorizontino30212:4-22
    16Cuiaba30210:2-22
    17Ponte Preta30122:4-21
    18America MG30123:6-31
    19Juventude30121:4-31
    20Atletico GO30032:5-30

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )