Result
4:1
17/08/2024 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 18
- Referee: Moraes de Sousa A. D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 148 | 156 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 50 | 69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Marco Antonio ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 0, Paulo Sergio ⚽,
- 44', 3 - 0, Islan ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Israel ↓, Igor Dutra ↑,
- 46', Sousa ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
- 48', 4 - 0, Marco Antonio ⚽,
- 53', Ernandes ↓, Wilker ↑,
- 54', Vinicius Paulista ↓, Mattheus Silva ↑,
- 55', 4 - 1, Ciel ⚽,
- 58', Marco Antonio ↓, Matheus Melo ↑,
- 58', Bruno Mezenga ↓, Felipe Ferreira ↑,
- 68', Gustavo Maia 🟨,
- 68', Leo Gobo 🟨,
- 73', Marcelinho ↓, Kiuan ↑,
- 75', Islan ↓, Iran ↑,
- 80', Lincoln 🟨,
- 90', Patrick Allan ↓, Wendel Lessa ↑,
Chances of winning
Náutico Capibaribe
63.9% | Draw
22.6% | Ferroviário Fortaleza
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Náutico Capibaribe - Ferroviário Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.48) |
4.05 ↑
(3.9) |
6.76 ↑
(6.18) |
9.3%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Ferroviário Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Náutico: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
- Recent matches Náutico is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ferroviário is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Náutico is certain favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Náutico won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Ferroviário Fortaleza?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviário Fortaleza won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Ferroviário Fortaleza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Ferroviário Fortaleza were as follows:
22.03.2023
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Ferroviário Fortaleza
3:2
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Brusque | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Ypiranga FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Ituano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro ✔ | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense ✔ | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Retro is Relegated to Serie D
Tombense is Relegated to Serie D
