Result
0:1
27/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 6
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (343/411) | 82% (282/344) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (343/411) | 82% (282/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 53% (26/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (75/115) | 66% (67/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/24) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Tavares R. ↓, Samuel Otusanya ↑,
- 20', Derek 🟨,
- 21', Mateus Silva 🟨,
- 24', Ian Luccas 🟨,
- 42', Marcelo Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Ian Luccas ↓, Pedro Oliveira ↑,
- 57', Douglas Pele ↓, Vera D. ↑,
- 66', Vinicius ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
- 66', Mateus Silva ↓, Yuri ↑,
- 66', Gustavinho ↓, Kauan Lindes ↑,
- 72', Junior Todinho ↓, Felipe Saraiva ↑,
- 81', 0 - 1, Victor Andrade ⚽, Yuri (A),
- 82', Victor Andrade 🟨,
- 83', Felipe Saraiva 🟨,
- 86', Luiz Felipe ↓, Samuel Felix ↑,
- 86', Wenderson ↓, Ramon ↑,
- 90+4', Zeca 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletic Club
35.8% | Draw
30.3% | Náutico Capibaribe
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Athletic Club - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.47) |
3.07 ↑
(3) |
2.76 ↓
(2.85) |
7.4%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Náutico Capibaribe?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Athletic: Belezi
(Red Card)
Diogo Batista
(Yellow Cards)
Jhonatan Silva
(Red Card)
Jota
(Yellow Cards)
Rodrigo Gelado
(Inactive)
Sidimar
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Náutico: Betao
(Inactive)
Junior Todinho
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Athletic Club has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Athletic Club?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
21.07.2024
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Athletic Club
2:2
Latest results of Athletic Club
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Operario-PR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Juventude | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ceara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | CRB | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Londrina | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | America MG | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
