Result
0:0
13/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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49% | 51% |
Total shots |
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13 | 4 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 0 |
Total shots |
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13 | 4 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 8 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Rafinha Potiguar 🟨,
- 36', Leonan ↓, Leo Maia ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Marco Antonio ↓, Auremir ↑,
- 57', Kelvin ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
- 57', Rafinha Potiguar ↓, Flavio ↑,
- 68', Joao Lucas ↓, Reifit ↑,
- 68', Gabriel Santiago ↓, Wellington Nem ↑,
- 68', Felipe Augusto ↓, Marlyson ↑,
- 70', Marco Antonio ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
- 79', Bruno Mezenga ↓, Paulo Sergio ↑,
- 79', Vinicius ↓, Patrick Allan ↑,
- 86', Reifit 🟨,
- 90+5', Wellington Nem 🟨,
Chances of winning
Figueirense 51.7% | Draw 28.8% | Náutico Capibaribe 19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Figueirense's performance.Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Figueirense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Figueirense - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.77 ↓ (2.13) |
3.18 ↑ (2.94) |
4.72 ↑ (3.45) |
9% (10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Náutico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Figueirense is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Figueirense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Figueirense won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Figueirense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Figueirense?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Figueirense - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
14.07.2024
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Figueirense
4:0
15.07.2023
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Figueirense
2:1
Latest results of Figueirense
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | SER Caxias | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
2 | Nautico | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:6 | 14 | 29 |
3 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Ponte Preta | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 27 |
5 | Londrina | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Floresta EC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Brusque | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
8 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 21 |
9 | CSA | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
10 | Confianca | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 20 |
12 | Ituano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
14 | Anapolis | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
15 | Itabaiana | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13:17 | -4 | 18 |
16 | Maringa FC | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 18 |
17 | Figueirense | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
18 | ABC | 16 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
19 | Retro | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6:19 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Tombense | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D