Result
3:0
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Samuel 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Otusanya O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', Vinicius Popo ↓, Fernando Canesin ↑,
- 56', Victor Reis ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 56', Gabriel Razera ↓, Felipe Muranga ↑,
- 66', Vinicius ↓, Kelvin ↑,
- 66', Patrick Allan ↓, Felipe Redaelli ↑,
- 70', Carlinhos 🟨,
- 71', Raimar ↓, Igor Fernandes ↑,
- 76', Samuel ↓, Indio ↑,
- 76', Igor Bolt ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
- 83', Bruno Silva 🟨,
- 85', Bruno Silva ↓, Grigor ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Náutico Capibaribe
47% | Draw
29.2% | Ituano
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náutico Capibaribe's form might have worsened.Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.7) |
3.14 ↓
(3.33) |
3.86 ↓
(4.7) |
8.9%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Ituano will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ituano: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Náutico (votes: 2 - 40%). Ituano (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Náutico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
- Náutico has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ituano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Náutico is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Náutico will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Náutico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Ituano?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Ituano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano were as follows:
02.09.2022
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Ituano
2:0
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C Table
Second stageGroup B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Bernardo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Londrina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Ponte Preta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Nautico | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Brusque | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
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