Náutico Capibaribe vs Maringá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Náutico Capibaribe - Maringá
Result
2:1
16/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
49
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
97
Corner Kicks
55
Goalkeeper Saves
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Igor Pereira ,
  • 17', Vilar 🟨,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Patrick Allan ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mateus Silva , Rayan ,
  • 46', Pingo , Vinicius Amaral ,
  • 46', Vitinho , Jhow Alecxander ,
  • 47', Igor Pereira 🟨,
  • 50', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Edison Negueba (Pen),
  • 63', Moraes , Rai Natalino ,
  • 63', Cristovam , Robertinho ,
  • 64', Kelvin , Wenderson ,
  • 64', Patrick Allan , Helio Borges ,
  • 69', Bruno Mezenga , Kayon ,
  • 75', Buga 🟨,
  • 79', Igor Pereira , Otusanya O. ,
  • 83', Buga , Bruno Cheron ,
  • 89', Carlinhos 🟨,

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
39.7%
Draw
29.8%
Maringá
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.6% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 27.4% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Maringá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.19)
    3.06
    (3.17)
    2.99
    (3)
    9.9%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Maringá?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Maringá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Maringá
    01.06.2025 Maringá - Ituano 1:1
    25.05.2025 Anápolis - Maringá 1:1
    18.05.2025 Maringá - Botafogo PB 1:1
    11.05.2025 CS Alagoano - Maringá 3:2
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1390422:16627
    2Ponte Preta1382313:10326
    3Londrina1365221:12923
    4Sao Bernardo1364314:8622
    5Ypiranga FC1362512:14-220
    6Nautico1355314:6820
    7Floresta EC1354410:11-119
    8Brusque1353512:12018
    9CSA1346315:12318
    10Ituano1345412:13-117
    11Botafogo PB1344515:11416
    12Guarani1344510:12-216
    13Figueirense1336415:14115
    14Maringa FC1336417:19-215
    15ABC1329215:17-215
    16Confianca1334614:19-513
    17Anapolis132749:13-413
    18Retro133376:15-912
    19Itabaiana133289:16-711
    20Tombense1325611:16-511

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D