Náutico Capibaribe vs Maringá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
49
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
97
Corner Kicks
55
Goalkeeper Saves
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Igor Pereira ,
  • 17', Vilar 🟨,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Patrick Allan ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mateus Silva , Rayan ,
  • 46', Pingo , Vinicius Amaral ,
  • 46', Vitinho , Jhow Alecxander ,
  • 47', Igor Pereira 🟨,
  • 50', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Edison Negueba (Pen),
  • 63', Moraes , Rai Natalino ,
  • 63', Cristovam , Robertinho ,
  • 64', Kelvin , Wenderson ,
  • 64', Patrick Allan , Helio Borges ,
  • 69', Bruno Mezenga , Kayon ,
  • 75', Buga 🟨,
  • 79', Igor Pereira , Otusanya O. ,
  • 83', Buga , Bruno Cheron ,
  • 89', Carlinhos 🟨,

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
39.7%
Draw
29.8%
Maringá
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.6% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 27.4% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Maringá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.19)
    3.06
    (3.17)
    2.99
    (3)
    9.9%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Maringá?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Maringá (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Maringá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Maringá
    01.06.2025 Maringá - Ituano 1:1
    25.05.2025 Anápolis - Maringá 1:1
    18.05.2025 Maringá - Botafogo PB 1:1
    11.05.2025 CS Alagoano - Maringá 3:2
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Figueirense00000:000
    2Volta Redonda00000:000
    3Ituano00000:000
    4Santa Cruz00000:000
    5Itabaiana00000:000
    6Confianca00000:000
    7Guarani00000:000
    8Paysandu PA00000:000
    9Botafogo PB00000:000
    10Brusque00000:000
    11Ferroviaria00000:000
    12SER Caxias00000:000
    13Anapolis00000:000
    14Maranhao00000:000
    15Inter de Limeira00000:000
    16Maringa FC00000:000
    17Ypiranga FC00000:000
    18Floresta EC00000:000
    19Amazonas00000:000
    20Barra FC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D