Náutico Capibaribe vs Maringá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Náutico Capibaribe - Maringá
Result
2:1
16/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
49
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
97
Corner Kicks
55
Goalkeeper Saves
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Igor Pereira ,
  • 17', Vilar 🟨,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Patrick Allan ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mateus Silva , Rayan ,
  • 46', Pingo , Vinicius Amaral ,
  • 46', Vitinho , Jhow Alecxander ,
  • 47', Igor Pereira 🟨,
  • 50', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Edison Negueba (Pen),
  • 63', Moraes , Rai Natalino ,
  • 63', Cristovam , Robertinho ,
  • 64', Kelvin , Wenderson ,
  • 64', Patrick Allan , Helio Borges ,
  • 69', Bruno Mezenga , Kayon ,
  • 75', Buga 🟨,
  • 79', Igor Pereira , Otusanya O. ,
  • 83', Buga , Bruno Cheron ,
  • 89', Carlinhos 🟨,

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
39.7%
Draw
29.8%
Maringá
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.6% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 27.4% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Maringá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.19)
    3.06
    (3.17)
    2.99
    (3)
    9.9%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Maringá?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Maringá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Maringá
    01.06.2025 Maringá - Ituano 1:1
    25.05.2025 Anápolis - Maringá 1:1
    18.05.2025 Maringá - Botafogo PB 1:1
    11.05.2025 CS Alagoano - Maringá 3:2
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias16120426:17936
    2Ponte Preta1793517:15230
    3Nautico1685320:61429
    4Sao Bernardo1685318:9929
    5Londrina1675424:16826
    6Floresta EC1666413:13024
    7Guarani1765617:18-123
    8Brusque1664616:15122
    9CSA1757520:19122
    10Ypiranga FC1663713:17-421
    11Ituano1756617:20-321
    12Maringa FC1749421:22-121
    13Confianca1655619:21-220
    14Botafogo PB1654719:17219
    15Anapolis1647513:17-419
    16Itabaiana1753913:18-518
    17Figueirense1638517:17017
    18ABC17211419:23-417
    19Retro1734106:20-1413
    20Tombense1626812:20-812

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D