Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Second stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Artur 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Rodrigo Souza 🟨,
- 52', Artur ↓, Kevyn ↑,
- 61', Indio ↓, Rayan ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Bruno Mezenga (Pen),
- 72', Lucas Cardoso ↓, Auremir ↑,
- 73', Wenderson ↓, Igor Pereira ↑,
- 74', Rodrigo Souza ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 74', Elvis ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
- 77', Jonas Toro ↓, Gustavo Lopes ↑,
- 78', Igor Bolt ↓, Kelvin ↑,
- 78', Leo Oliveira ↓, Miguel ↑,
- 78', 🟨,
- 86', Vitinho 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Miguel ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+8', Diego Tavares 🟨,
- 90+8', Rayan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ponte Preta
46.3% | Draw
33.3% | Náutico Capibaribe
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Ponte Preta - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.13) |
2.83 ↓
(2.99) |
4.61 ↑
(3.4) |
6.1%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta - Náutico Capibaribe?
Users Predictions:
Ponte Preta will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ponte Preta will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet and 3)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 4.
- Ponte Preta is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Náutico has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Ponte Preta is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Ponte Preta has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Ponte Preta?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
20.09.2025
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Ponte Preta
0:1
24.05.2025
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Ponte Preta
0:1
04.11.2022
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Ponte Preta
0:1
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C Table
Second stageGroup B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Londrina | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | SER Caxias | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ponte Preta | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Guarani | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Nautico | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Brusque | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet
