Náutico Capibaribe vs Ponte Preta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta
Result
0:1
24/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilBandSports, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
16
Corner Kicks
56
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
11
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
910
Corner Kicks
56
Goalkeeper Saves
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Carlinhos 🟨,
  • 27', Emerson Santos 🟨,
  • 32', Leo Oliveira 🟥,
  • 34', Elvis , Luiz Felipe ,
  • 36', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
  • 43', Kelvin 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Marco Antonio , de Sousa Oliveira T. ,
  • 46', Jean Dias , Everton Brito ,
  • 46', Rayan , Felipe Santana ,
  • 57', Muriel Becker 🟥,
  • 58', Patrick Allan , Leo ,
  • 58', Kelvin , Helio Borges ,
  • 61', Bruno Mezenga , Leo Mago ,
  • 63', Diogo Silva 🟨,
  • 72', Jeh , Diego Tavares ,
  • 82', Emerson Santos , Concha V. ,
  • 82', Sergio Raphael , Bruno Lopes ,
  • 84', Auremir 🟨,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Luiz Felipe ,
  • 90+1', Concha V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
39.7%
Draw
31%
Ponte Preta
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 29.6% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 30.5% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.25)
    2.99
    (3.1)
    3.15
    (3.1)
    8.2%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Náutico (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 1.
    • Recent performances by Náutico have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ponte Preta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Náutico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Náutico is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta were as follows:
    04.11.2022 Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta 0:1
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Ponte Preta
    17.05.2025 Ponte Preta - Brusque 1:4
    12.05.2025 Ituano - Ponte Preta 0:1
    03.05.2025 Ponte Preta - Anápolis 2:0
    26.04.2025 Confiança - Ponte Preta 1:2
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1390422:16627
    2Ponte Preta1382313:10326
    3Londrina1365221:12923
    4Sao Bernardo1364314:8622
    5Ypiranga FC1362512:14-220
    6Nautico1355314:6820
    7Floresta EC1354410:11-119
    8Brusque1353512:12018
    9CSA1346315:12318
    10Ituano1345412:13-117
    11Botafogo PB1344515:11416
    12Guarani1344510:12-216
    13Figueirense1336415:14115
    14Maringa FC1336417:19-215
    15ABC1329215:17-215
    16Confianca1334614:19-513
    17Anapolis132749:13-413
    18Retro133376:15-912
    19Itabaiana133289:16-711
    20Tombense1325611:16-511

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D