Náutico Capibaribe vs Vila Nova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa do Brasil Náutico Capibaribe - Vila Nova
Result
2:1
09/03/2023 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/32-FINALS

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
39.7%
Draw
30.2%
Vila Nova
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 29.3% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 30.4% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Vila Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.43)
    3.03
    (3.1)
    3.04
    (2.74)
    8.7%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Náutico won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Náutico have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Náutico won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    04.03.2023 Vila Nova - Anápolis 0:1
    28.02.2023 Noroeste - Vila Nova 1:1
    23.02.2023 Vila Nova - Luverdense 1:0
    21.02.2023 Anápolis - Vila Nova 0:0
    15.02.2023 Aparecidense - Vila Nova 0:0
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1Sao PauloBye
    3MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    4Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    5TremBrusque0 : 2
    6OlariaABC1 : 0
    7Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    8Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    18JequieRetro1 : 2
    20ByeFortaleza
    21Paysandu PABye
    24ByeBahia
    25Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    26DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    27CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    28VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    29InternacionalBye
    31CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    32MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    33SantosBye
    36ByeCRB
    37CruzeiroBye
    39Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    40Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    41Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    42BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    43Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    44BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    45HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    46CSETombense1 : 3
    47Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    48Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    49Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    50Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    52ByeCorinthians
    53SergipeCeara0 : 2
    54ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    56ByePalmeiras
    57Botafogo RJBye
    59Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    60CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    61Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    62GASRemo0 : 4
    63SousaBragantino1 : 2
    64OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1Sao PauloBye
    2VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    3BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    4Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    10ByeFortaleza
    11Paysandu PABye
    12ByeBahia
    13FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    14CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    15InternacionalBye
    16CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    17SantosBye
    18ByeCRB
    19CruzeiroBye
    20Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    21Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    22GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    23Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    24VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    25Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    26ByeCorinthians
    27CearaConfianca3 : 2
    28ByePalmeiras
    29Botafogo RJBye
    30Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    31CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    32BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    2BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    6Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1
    7FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    8InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    9SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    10CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    11CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    12Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    13NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    15Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    16CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sao PauloAthletico-PR2 : 1
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 0
    3RetroBahia2 : 3
    4FluminenseInternacional2 : 1
    5CRBCruzeiro0 : 0
    6CSAVasco0 : 0
    7CorinthiansPalmeiras1 : 0
    8Botafogo RJBragantino2 : 0