São Luiz vs Náutico Marcílio Dias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D São Luiz - Náutico Marcílio Dias
Result
3:0
07/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
38
Total shots
125
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
38
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Da Silva ,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Da Silva ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 3 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


São Luiz
27.8%
Draw
35.1%
Náutico Marcílio Dias
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 26.3% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 25.8% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Luiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Marcílio Dias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Marcílio Dias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • São Luiz - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (2.95)
    2.57
    (3.44)
    2.44
    (2.1)
    10.7%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Recent performances by São Luiz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Marcílio Dias is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Marcílio Dias could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Luiz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Luiz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Luiz - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
    02.06.2025 Náutico Marcílio Dias - São Luiz 3:0
    Latest results of São Luiz
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC
    3ImperatrizManaus
    4America RNJuazeirense
    5AE AltosIndependencia
    6Santa CruzSergipe
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0