Result
4:2
16/03/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Guerrero F. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Claverias A. ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 1, Monerris A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 81', 2 - 2, Leiton D. ⚽,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Perez J. V. ⚽,
- 90+6', 4 - 2, Verdu J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Navalcarnero
47.1% | Draw
28% | Móstoles URJC
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navalcarnero's form might have worsened.Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Móstoles URJC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Móstoles URJC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.56) |
3.26 ↓
(3.63) |
3.68 ↓
(5.35) |
9.5%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Navalcarnero is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Móstoles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Navalcarnero will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.4:0.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Navalcarnero won against Móstoles URJC?
Navalcarnero has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Móstoles URJC won against Navalcarnero?
Móstoles URJC has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC were as follows:
03.11.2024
Móstoles URJC
-
Navalcarnero
0:0
27.08.2022
Navalcarnero
-
Móstoles URJC
2:0
Latest results of Navalcarnero
Latest results of Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orihuela | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Getafe B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Real Madrid C | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Tenerife B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Rayo Majadahonda | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | San Sebastian Reyes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Socuellamos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Ilicitano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Quintanar del Rey | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | CF Intercity | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Navalcarnero | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Colonia M | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | CD Coria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Conquense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Las Palmas B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | RSD Alcala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Fuenlabrada | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
