Result
4:2
16/03/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Guerrero F. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Claverias A. ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 1, Monerris A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 81', 2 - 2, Leiton D. ⚽,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Perez J. V. ⚽,
- 90+6', 4 - 2, Verdu J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Navalcarnero
47.1% | Draw
28% | Móstoles URJC
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navalcarnero's form might have worsened.Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Móstoles URJC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Móstoles URJC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.56) |
3.26 ↓
(3.63) |
3.68 ↓
(5.35) |
9.5%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Navalcarnero is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Móstoles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Navalcarnero will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.4:0.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Navalcarnero won against Móstoles URJC?
Navalcarnero has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Móstoles URJC won against Navalcarnero?
Móstoles URJC has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC were as follows:
03.11.2024
Móstoles URJC
-
Navalcarnero
0:0
27.08.2022
Navalcarnero
-
Móstoles URJC
2:0
Latest results of Navalcarnero
Latest results of Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 57 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 42:22 | 20 | 57 |
| 3 | Getafe B | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 47:30 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Conquense | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 37:28 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Tenerife B | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 44 |
| 7 | Orihuela | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 8 | RSD Alcala | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Palmas B | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 38:37 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | CF Intercity | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 11 | Navalcarnero | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Fuenlabrada | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Ilicitano | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 43:46 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Real Madrid C | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 15 | Colonia M | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:52 | -19 | 27 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano B | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 26:48 | -22 | 27 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29:39 | -10 | 26 |
| 18 | Socuellamos | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26:44 | -18 | 26 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
