Navalcarnero vs Móstoles URJC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC
Result
4:2
16/03/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Guerrero F. ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Claverias A. ,
  • 38', 2 - 1, Monerris A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 81', 2 - 2, Leiton D. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Perez J. V. ,
  • 90+6', 4 - 2, Verdu J. ,

Chances of winning


Navalcarnero
47.1%
Draw
28%
Móstoles URJC
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 25% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 23.9% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Navalcarnero's form might have worsened.
  • Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Móstoles URJC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Móstoles URJC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.56)
    3.26
    (3.63)
    3.68
    (5.35)
    9.5%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Navalcarnero is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Móstoles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Navalcarnero will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.4:0.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Móstoles URJC - Navalcarnero 0:0
    27.08.2022 Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC 2:0
    Latest results of Navalcarnero
    09.03.2025 Getafe B - Navalcarnero 0:1
    02.03.2025 Tenerife B - Navalcarnero 1:2
    23.02.2025 Navalcarnero - Coria 0:2
    16.02.2025 Illescas - Navalcarnero 0:1
    09.02.2025 Navalcarnero - Conquense 2:0
    Latest results of Móstoles URJC
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2