Result
2:1
11/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Leiton D. ⚽,
- 26', de Souza R. 🟥,
- 28', (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 1, Quivira I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Rayo Vallecano B 28.9% | Draw 29.8% | Navalcarnero 41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Rayo Vallecano B - Navalcarnero Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.14 ↑ (2.93) |
3.03 ↓ (3.03) |
2.2 ↓ (2.28) |
10.2% (10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano B won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Navalcarnero has had a series of home games.
- Navalcarnero could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano B won against Navalcarnero?
Rayo Vallecano B has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Navalcarnero won against Rayo Vallecano B?
Navalcarnero has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano B - Navalcarnero were as follows:
14.09.2025
Navalcarnero
-
Rayo Vallecano B
2:1
12.08.2023
Navalcarnero
-
Rayo Vallecano B
2:1
Latest results of Rayo Vallecano B
Latest results of Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Sebastian Reyes | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 46:23 | 23 | 63 |
| 2 | Rayo Majadahonda | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 46:23 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Getafe B | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Conquense | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 38:27 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 42:32 | 10 | 48 |
| 6 | Tenerife B | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 51:46 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | RSD Alcala | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 44 |
| 8 | Orihuela | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Ilicitano | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 47:47 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Las Palmas B | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 38 |
| 11 | CF Intercity | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Navalcarnero | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Fuenlabrada | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31:37 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 | Quintanar del Rey | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 15 | Real Madrid C | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Colonia M | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 30 |
| 17 | Socuellamos | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28:49 | -21 | 27 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 27:54 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation