Surkhon Termez vs Navbahor Namangan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan
Result
1:0
21/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
105
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
107
Corner Kicks
66
Goalkeeper Saves
59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nematkhonov N. , Khodzhaniyazov D. ,
  • 46', Kholdorkhonov P. , Urinboev Z. ,
  • 46', Akhmedov A. , Komilov S. ,
  • 46', Ubaydullaev S. , Odilov A. ,
  • 59', Abdurakhmonov M. , Khaydarov A. ,
  • 59', Poyonov S. , Kolesnichenko K. ,
  • 64', Komilov S. , Kratkov D. ,
  • 71', Guilherme Guedes 🟨,
  • 73', Gulomov A. , Pedro ,
  • 79', Pletnev D. , Ramazonov D. ,
  • 85', Kolesnichenko K. (Pen),
  • 87', 1 - 0, Kolesnichenko K. , Ramazonov D. (A),
  • 90+5', Higor Gabriel 🟨,

Chances of winning


Surkhon Termez
27%
Draw
30.1%
Navbahor Namangan
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 28.1% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 27.1% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Navbahor Namangan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navbahor Namangan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.75)
    3.05
    (3.33)
    2.14
    (1.99)
    8.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Surkhon won 0.
    • Surkhon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Navbahor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Surkhon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Navbahor will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Surkhon won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 6:19 (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Surkhon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan were as follows:
    26.08.2024 Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan 0:1
    31.03.2024 Navbahor Namangan - Surkhon Termez 2:2
    27.10.2023 Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan 1:2
    03.09.2023 Navbahor Namangan - Surkhon Termez 2:0
    14.05.2023 Navbahor Namangan - Surkhon Termez 1:0
    Latest results of Surkhon Termez
    Latest results of Navbahor Namangan
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi18107132:151737
    2Neftchi Fargona18106229:161336
    3OKMK18104426:18834
    4Din. Samarkand1897228:22634
    5Pakhtakor19103636:171933
    6Navbahor Namangan1894534:191531
    7Bunyodkor1887329:191031
    8Termez Surkhon1865717:19-223
    9Qizilqum1857616:25-922
    10Andijan1856723:25-221
    11Sogdiana1955921:24-320
    12Xorazm Urganch1854922:22019
    13Kokand 191218431113:31-1815
    14Mashal Muborak18431115:35-2015
    15Buxoro18351017:30-1314
    16Shortan Guzor18241211:32-2110

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