Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese Premier League Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions
Result
4:0
31/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 11
  • Referee: Johnson A. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
82
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
21
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
82
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
21
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Pace Cocks N. (Own goal),
  • 19', Mihana R. , Klepac M. ,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Bonello H. ,
  • 26', 3 - 0, Prsa R. ,
  • 37', Pace Cocks N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hugo Santos , Farrugia J. ,
  • 46', Xerri S. , Scicluna K. ,
  • 64', Micallef N. , Yamaguchi T. ,
  • 64', Sane B. , Cassar R. ,
  • 70', 4 - 0, Raphael Lopes ,
  • 77', Emerson , Vella G. ,
  • 77', Raphael Lopes , Bjelicic O. ,
  • 78', Laton , Fenech M. ,
  • 78', Joao Moura , Micallef M. ,
  • 80', Bonello H. , Celio ,

Chances of winning


Hamrun Spartans
66.2%
Draw
20%
Naxxar Lions
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 23.9% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 25.7% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamrun Spartans's performance.
  • Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.54)
    4.6
    (3.87)
    6.68
    (5.88)
    8.5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hamrun will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Naxxar will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hamrun: 55.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).
    • Naxxar is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamrun won 5.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Recently Hamrun have a series of home games.
    • In this match Hamrun is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Hamrun won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21:2 (average 3.5:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hamrun won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 2.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
    27.09.2024 Naxxar Lions - Hamrun Spartans 0:6
    04.02.2024 Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions 4:1
    23.09.2023 Naxxar Lions - Hamrun Spartans 0:4
    Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
    Latest results of Naxxar Lions
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SliemaBirkirkara0 : 1
    2FlorianaHamrun0 : 1

    Final
    1BirkirkaraHamrun0 : 1

    3rd place
    2SliemaFloriana0 : 4