Paola Hibernians vs Naxxar Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese Premier League Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions
Result
0:1
11/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 13
  • Referee: Farrugia Cann T. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
103
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
91
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
103
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
91
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Cassar R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Micallef N. 🟨,
  • 63', Yamaguchi T. , Yasukaze I. ,
  • 63', Alex Bruno , Falcone F. ,
  • 77', Degabriele J. , Alfred S. ,
  • 77', Xuereb D. , Sorokin S. ,
  • 77', Martinis A. , Ellul M. ,
  • 87', Hugo Santos , Sane B. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paola Hibernians
56.3%
Draw
24.5%
Naxxar Lions
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 21.8% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 20.9% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paola Hibernians's form might have worsened.
  • Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paola Hibernians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.47)
    3.72
    (4.18)
    4.75
    (5.63)
    9.6%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hibernians won 3.
    • Hibernians is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Naxxar is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Hibernians have a series of home games.
    • Recently Naxxar have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Hibernians is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Hibernians to win the game is with odds 1.5.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Hibernians won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 39:10 (average 2.8:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hibernians won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 2.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions 3:2
    06.03.2025 Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions 2:0
    17.08.2024 Naxxar Lions - Paola Hibernians 1:2
    02.03.2024 Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions 0:2
    28.10.2023 Naxxar Lions - Paola Hibernians 0:0
    Latest results of Paola Hibernians
    Latest results of Naxxar Lions
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SliemaBirkirkara0 : 1
    2FlorianaHamrun0 : 1

    Final
    1BirkirkaraHamrun0 : 1

    3rd place
    2SliemaFloriana0 : 4