Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', JP Iseppe ↓, Guehi S. ↑,
- 15', 1 - 0, Pahama N. ⚽,
- 31', Farias E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 63', Attard A. ↓, Xuereb D. ↑,
- 63', Zammit A. ↓, Cleiton ↑,
- 64', Xuereb D. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 0, Vitinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 72', 2 - 1, Shaw K. ⚽,
- 75', Kristensen B. ↓, Caruana L. ↑,
- 75', Pedrao ↓, Norenkov D. ↑,
- 83', Pahama N. ↓, Costa Goncalves G. ↑,
- 84', Halabaku K. ↓, Debattista M. ↑,
- 90', Charleston 🟨,
Chances of winning
Naxxar Lions
38% | Draw
28.5% | Paola Hibernians
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paola Hibernians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paola Hibernians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Naxxar Lions - Paola Hibernians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.68) |
3.18 ↓
(3.5) |
2.72 ↑
(2.2) |
10.1%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ) and 9 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).
- Hibernians is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 1.
- Naxxar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hibernians has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Naxxar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Naxxar will win today's game, with odds of 2.64.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:42. (average 0.7:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:22. (average 0.1:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Paola Hibernians?
Naxxar Lions has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paola Hibernians won against Naxxar Lions?
Paola Hibernians has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naxxar Lions - Paola Hibernians were as follows:
25.11.2025
Paola Hibernians
-
Naxxar Lions
1:1
20.09.2025
Paola Hibernians
-
Naxxar Lions
2:0
11.04.2025
Paola Hibernians
-
Naxxar Lions
0:1
09.03.2025
Paola Hibernians
-
Naxxar Lions
3:2
06.03.2025
Paola Hibernians
-
Naxxar Lions
2:0
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Latest results of Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 4 | Naxxar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Valletta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Gzira | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Sliema | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 6 |
| 12 | Mosta | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
