Result
1:1
25/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - First stage - Play Out - Round 12
- Referee: Casha D. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Kristensen B. 🟨,
- 31', Costa Goncalves G. 🟨,
- 44', Pace Cocks N. 🟨,
- 45+3', Bonnici D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Farias E. ↓, Firmino ↑,
- 69', Guehi S. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 0, Villela L. (Pen),
- 71', Alfred S. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Firmino ⚽,
Chances of winning
Paola Hibernians
47.7% | Draw
27.2% | Naxxar Lions
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paola Hibernians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.74) |
3.33 ↑
(3.3) |
3.6 ↓
(4.1) |
10.5%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 4.
- Hibernians has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Naxxar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Hibernians will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:11. (average 2.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hibernians won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paola Hibernians won against Naxxar Lions?
Paola Hibernians has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Paola Hibernians?
Naxxar Lions has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
20.09.2025
Paola Hibernians
-
Naxxar Lions
2:0
11.04.2025
Paola Hibernians
-
Naxxar Lions
0:1
09.03.2025
Paola Hibernians
-
Naxxar Lions
3:2
06.03.2025
Paola Hibernians
-
Naxxar Lions
2:0
17.08.2024
Naxxar Lions
-
Paola Hibernians
1:2
Latest results of Paola Hibernians
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 14 |
| 4 | Gzira | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Naxxar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Valletta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Sliema | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 12 | Mosta | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:16 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
