Result
0:4
28/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 7
- Referee: Zammit F. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 16', 0 - 1, Joao Moura ⚽,
- 22', Fernandinho 🟨,
- 26', Fenech M. 🟨,
- 28', Diarra B. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 2, Bonanno G. ⚽,
- 45+2', 0 - 3, Vitinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', 🟨,
- 54', 🟨,
- 83', 🟥,
- 84', 0 - 4, Vitinho ⚽,
- 84', 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sliema Wanderers
24.5% | Draw
29.7% | Naxxar Lions
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sliema Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sliema Wanderers's form might have worsened.Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naxxar Lions's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (+17.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sliema Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naxxar Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sliema Wanderers - Naxxar Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.02 ↑
(2.26) |
5.8 ↑
(3.6) |
3.76 ↑
(2.57) |
-41.9%
(11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sliema Wanderers - Naxxar Lions?
Users Predictions:
Sliema Wanderers will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sliema Wanderers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sliema Wanderers won 4.
- Sliema Wanderers has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Naxxar has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sliema Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sliema Wanderers has had a series of home games.
- Sliema Wanderers might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sliema Wanderers won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:15. (average 2.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sliema Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Sliema Wanderers won against Naxxar Lions?
Sliema Wanderers has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Sliema Wanderers?
Naxxar Lions has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sliema Wanderers - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
17.01.2025
Sliema Wanderers
-
Naxxar Lions
4:0
07.11.2024
Naxxar Lions
-
Sliema Wanderers
0:3
20.04.2024
Sliema Wanderers
-
Naxxar Lions
0:0
17.12.2023
Naxxar Lions
-
Sliema Wanderers
1:4
25.02.2023
Sliema Wanderers
-
Naxxar Lions
3:1
Latest results of Sliema Wanderers
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Valletta | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Hamrun | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Hibernians | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Birkirkara | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Marsaxlokk | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Sliema | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Zabbar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Gzira | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 | Tarxien | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 11 | Naxxar | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Mosta | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )
