Result
0:1
13/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 68', 0 - 1, Ssenoga M. K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Police
39.2% | Draw
30.4% | NEC FC
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.NEC FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC FC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Police - NEC FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.04) |
2.96 ↓
(3) |
2.97 ↓
(3.76) |
10.9%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)
- In recent matches, Police has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- NEC is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Police will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Police won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Police won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against NEC FC?
Police has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC FC won against Police?
NEC FC has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Police - NEC FC were as follows:
18.10.2025
NEC FC
-
Police
2:2
16.02.2025
Police
-
NEC FC
1:1
05.11.2024
NEC FC
-
Police
0:0
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 42:14 | 28 | 50 |
| 2 | Kitara | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 34:13 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 34:17 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Villa | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 31:11 | 20 | 41 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 36 |
| 6 | Police | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 35 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 8 | BUL | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24:20 | 4 | 30 |
| 9 | Maroons | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 17:15 | 2 | 26 |
| 10 | Express | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 23 |
| 11 | URA SC | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 18 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 15:31 | -16 | 16 |
| 14 | Buhimba | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15:44 | -29 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
| 16 | Calvary | 21 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7:36 | -29 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
