Result
03/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
Chances of winning
NEC FC
56.3% | Draw
27% | UPDF
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NEC FC's form might have worsened.UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NEC FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-4%)
NEC FC - UPDF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.43) |
3.33 ↓
(3.9) |
5.38 ↓
(6.67) |
11.2%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
- NEC is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- UPDF is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, NEC is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NEC won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, NEC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC FC won against UPDF?
NEC FC has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against NEC FC?
UPDF has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC FC - UPDF were as follows:
16.12.2025
UPDF
-
NEC FC
0:0
04.04.2025
UPDF
-
NEC FC
0:0
24.09.2024
NEC FC
-
UPDF
1:0
13.02.2024
UPDF
-
NEC FC
2:2
20.10.2023
NEC FC
-
UPDF
2:0
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 38 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 3 | Villa | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:10 | 16 | 34 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 34 |
| 5 | Kitara | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23:12 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Police | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 32 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | BUL | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Maroons | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 18 |
| 11 | Express | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Buhimba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:38 | -23 | 15 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 15 |
| 14 | URA SC | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12:25 | -13 | 12 |
| 16 | Calvary | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6:26 | -20 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
