Result
1:0
03/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 79', 1 - 0, Media I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
NEC FC
56.4% | Draw
27% | UPDF
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NEC FC's form might have worsened.UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NEC FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
NEC FC - UPDF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.43) |
3.36 ↓
(3.9) |
5.45 ↓
(6.67) |
10.4%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
- NEC is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- UPDF is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, NEC is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NEC won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, NEC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC FC won against UPDF?
NEC FC has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against NEC FC?
UPDF has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC FC - UPDF were as follows:
16.12.2025
UPDF
-
NEC FC
0:0
04.04.2025
UPDF
-
NEC FC
0:0
24.09.2024
NEC FC
-
UPDF
1:0
13.02.2024
UPDF
-
NEC FC
2:2
20.10.2023
NEC FC
-
UPDF
2:0
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 42:14 | 28 | 51 |
| 2 | Kitara | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 34:13 | 21 | 47 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Villa | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 32:11 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 19:14 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | NEC FC | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 37 |
| 7 | Police | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | BUL | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Maroons | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 18:15 | 3 | 29 |
| 10 | Express | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | URA SC | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16:31 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | UPDF | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17:30 | -13 | 17 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 16 |
| 15 | Buhimba | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15:46 | -31 | 15 |
| 16 | Calvary | 22 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 9:36 | -27 | 8 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
