Result
3:2 ET
22/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (370/491) | 85% (557/655) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (370/491) | 85% (557/655) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (27/68) | 41% (24/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (122/189) | 85% (191/224) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 25% (12/48) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 2.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 57 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 2.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Sadilek M. ⚽,
- 41', Van Hoorenbeeck A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kuipers B. ↓, Lagerbielke G. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Sano K. ⚽,
- 48', Hansen S. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 2, van Crooij V. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
- 59', Ouwejan T. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 2, Steijn S. ⚽,
- 66', Vlap M. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 66', Rots D. ↓, Taha Y. ↑,
- 66', Kjolo M. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,
- Extra Time (1 - 0)
- 91', Linssen B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 91', Hansen S. ↓, Hoedemakers M. ↑,
- 92', Taha Y. 🟨,
- 94', 3 - 2, Taha Y. ⚽, van Rooij B. (A),
- 106', Sano K. ↓, Larsen L. O. ↑,
- 106', Pereira B. ↓, Lyratzis L. ↑,
- 110', van Rooij B. ↓, Alders G. ↑,
- 120+2', Verdonk C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Twente
54.9% | Draw
24.1% | NEC Nijmegen
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Twente's form might have worsened.NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Twente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Twente - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.55) |
3.95 ↓
(4.5) |
4.52 ↓
(5) |
5.2%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Twente - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 18 - 94.7%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 84.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Twente will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))
- Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 3.
- Recent performances by Twente have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nijmegen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Twente is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Twente: Lammers S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Unnerstall L.
(Inactive)
Unuvar N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
Ogawa K.
(Injury)
Proper D.
(Head Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Twente won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:26. (average 2.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:9. (average 2.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against NEC Nijmegen?
Twente has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Twente?
NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
23.02.2025
Twente
-
NEC Nijmegen
2:0
10.08.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Twente
1:2
20.01.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Twente
1:0
11.11.2023
Twente
-
NEC Nijmegen
3:3
12.05.2023
Twente
-
NEC Nijmegen
4:0
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nijmegen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | PSV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Groningen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Twente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Telstar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
