Twente vs NEC Nijmegen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Football Dutch Eredivisie Twente - NEC Nijmegen
Result
3:2 ET
22/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4, ESPN Extra
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1, Sport TV2
turkeyTurkeyExxen
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.172.83
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1526
Shots on target
78
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
75% (370/491)85% (557/655)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.172.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.591.71
Total shots
1526
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
615
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
817
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
03
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2838
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
75% (370/491)85% (557/655)
Long passes
40% (27/68)41% (24/58)
Passes in final third
65% (122/189)85% (191/224)
Crosses
17% (4/24)25% (12/48)
Expected assists (xA)
0.812.74
Throw-ins
2031
Fouls
1112
Tackles
71% (15/21)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5856
Clearances
5736
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
1.712.59
Goals prevented
-0.29-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Sadilek M. ⚽,
  • 41', Van Hoorenbeeck A. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Kuipers B. ↓, Lagerbielke G. ↑,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Sano K. ⚽,
  • 48', Hansen S. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 2, van Crooij V. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
  • 59', Ouwejan T. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
  • 62', 2 - 2, Steijn S. ⚽,
  • 66', Vlap M. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
  • 66', Rots D. ↓, Taha Y. ↑,
  • 66', Kjolo M. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Linssen B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
  • 91', Hansen S. ↓, Hoedemakers M. ↑,
  • 92', Taha Y. 🟨,
  • 94', 3 - 2, Taha Y. ⚽, van Rooij B. (A),
  • 106', Sano K. ↓, Larsen L. O. ↑,
  • 106', Pereira B. ↓, Lyratzis L. ↑,
  • 110', van Rooij B. ↓, Alders G. ↑,
  • 120+2', Verdonk C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Twente
54.9%		Draw
24.1%		NEC Nijmegen
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 20.8% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 21.1% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Twente's form might have worsened.
  • NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Twente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
    •

    Twente - NEC Nijmegen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.73 ↑
    (1.55)    		 3.95 ↓
    (4.5)    		 4.52 ↓
    (5)    		 5.2%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Twente - NEC Nijmegen?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 18 - 94.7%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 84.6% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Twente will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))
    • Twente is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 3.
    • Recent performances by Twente have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nijmegen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Twente is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Twente: Lammers S. (Shoulder Injury) Unnerstall L. (Inactive) Unuvar N. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Ogawa K. (Injury) Proper D. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Twente won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:26. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:9. (average 2.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Twente - NEC Nijmegen 2:0
    10.08.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Twente 1:2
    20.01.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Twente 1:0
    11.11.2023 Twente - NEC Nijmegen 3:3
    12.05.2023 Twente - NEC Nijmegen 4:0
    Latest results of Twente
    18.05.2025 Ajax - Twente 2:0 ✺
    14.05.2025 Twente - AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺
    11.05.2025 Twente - Utrecht 2:0 ✺
    04.05.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Twente 0:2 ✺
    24.04.2025 Twente - PSV Eindhoven 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    18.05.2025 Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen 1:2 ✺
    14.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Ajax - NEC Nijmegen 0:3 ✺
    03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:0 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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