NEC Nijmegen vs Twente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
18/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 9
  • Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.94
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
83% (341/410)74% (198/269)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.341.94
Total shots
89
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
2115
Passes
83% (341/410)74% (198/269)
Long passes
57% (30/53)45% (26/58)
Passes in final third
68% (81/120)54% (28/52)
Crosses
33% (6/18)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.24
Throw-ins
1725
Fouls
1521
Tackles
64% (9/14)55% (11/20)
Duels won
6052
Clearances
2541
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.941.34
Goals prevented
-1.06-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', Kaplan A. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Ouwejan T. , Sano K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 55', 1 - 2, Rots M. , Orjasaeter S. (A),
  • 60', Zerrouki R. 🟨,
  • 63', van den Belt T. 🟨,
  • 64', Ogawa K. , El Kachati Y. ,
  • 64', Misidjan V. , Onal B. ,
  • 66', 2 - 2, El Kachati Y. , Ouwejan T. (A),
  • 71', Propper R. 🟨,
  • 71', van den Belt T. , Rots D. ,
  • 71', Pjaca M. , Verschueren A. ,
  • 77', Rots M. , Booth T. ,
  • 77', Orjasaeter S. , Kuipers B. ,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Verschueren A. (Own goal),
  • 83', Onal B. 🟨,
  • 88', Ouwejan T. , Fonville D. ,
  • 88', Linssen B. , Proper D. ,
  • 88', Hlynsson K. , Lammers S. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen
38.2%
Draw
25.4%
Twente
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 25.2% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 25.7% 34.4%

NEC Nijmegen - Twente Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.51
(2.4)
3.76
(3.77)
2.63
(2.71)
4.5%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Twente?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Twente will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2%64.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.
    • Recent form of Nijmegen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Twente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Sandler P. (Red Card) Willems J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Twente: Bruns M. (Injury) Hilgers M. (Inactive) Kjolo M. (Knee Injury) Lemkin S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Twente: Lammers S. (Shoulder Injury) Rots D. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:42. (average 1.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Twente were as follows:
    22.05.2025 Twente - NEC Nijmegen 3:2
    23.02.2025 Twente - NEC Nijmegen 2:0
    10.08.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Twente 1:2
    20.01.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Twente 1:0
    11.11.2023 Twente - NEC Nijmegen 3:3
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    Latest results of Twente
    05.10.2025 Twente - Heracles Almelo 2:1
    26.09.2025 Twente - Fortuna Sittard 3:2
    19.09.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Twente 1:5
    13.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 2:2
    30.08.2025 Excelsior - Twente 1:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV15131146:172940
    2Feyenoord15111341:182334
    3Nijmegen1583439:251427
    4Ajax1575328:20826
    5AZ Alkmaar1574428:24425
    6Groningen1572621:21023
    7Utrecht1564526:20622
    8Twente1556423:20321
    9Sparta Rotterdam1562717:28-1120
    10G.A. Eagles1546525:26-118
    11Sittard1553721:25-418
    12Heerenveen1545623:26-317
    13Excelsior1551914:26-1216
    14Zwolle1544719:36-1716
    15FC Volendam1535719:27-814
    16Heracles1542923:37-1414
    17NAC Breda1533915:24-912
    18Telstar1525817:25-811

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie