NEC Nijmegen vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Football Dutch Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk
Result
2:1
11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 29
  • Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.18
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
81% (280/346)85% (390/461)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.141.08
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
101
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
3527
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
914
Passes
81% (280/346)85% (390/461)
Long passes
42% (19/45)56% (36/64)
Passes in final third
62% (61/99)73% (91/125)
Crosses
45% (9/20)26% (8/31)
Expected assists (xA)
1.781.46
Fouls
149
Tackles
52% (11/21)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4750
Clearances Total
3229
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.081.14
Goals prevented
0.08-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Nuytinck B. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Sano K. ⚽,
  • 60', Shiogai K. ↓, Linssen B. ↑,
  • 60', Ouwejan T. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
  • 65', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
  • 70', Lyratzis L. ↓, Hoedemakers M. ↑,
  • 70', Ouaissa S. ↓, Larsen L. O. ↑,
  • 77', Oukili Y. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
  • 77', Margaret R. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Kramer M. ⚽, Ihattaren M. (A),
  • 85', Sandler P. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Linssen B. ⚽, Hansen S. (A),
  • 90+6', van de Loo T. ↓, van der Water S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen
56.9%		Draw
22.9%		Waalwijk
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 23% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 19.5% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
    •

    NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.66 ↑
    (1.65)    		 4.15 ↑
    (4.11)    		 4.69 ↓
    (4.84)    		 5.6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 60.6% – 97.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 4.
    • Recent matches Nijmegen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Waalwijk is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Waalwijk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Nijmegen is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Marquez I. (Groin Injury) Ogawa K. (Inactive) van Crooij V. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: Van den Buijs D. (Injury) Weidmann D. (Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 15 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 40:16 (average 2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 28:7 (average 2.5:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Waalwijk - NEC Nijmegen 0:3
    09.02.2024 Waalwijk - NEC Nijmegen 2:0
    26.08.2023 NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk 3:0
    15.07.2023 Waalwijk - NEC Nijmegen 0:1
    18.03.2023 Waalwijk - NEC Nijmegen 1:3
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    06.04.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen 2:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 3:3 ✺
    15.03.2025 Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen 0:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles 2:3 ✺
    01.03.2025 Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    06.04.2025 Waalwijk - Heracles Almelo 0:0 ✺
    01.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk 2:2 ✺
    29.03.2025 Zwolle - Waalwijk 2:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Waalwijk - PSV Eindhoven 0:3 ✺
    28.02.2025 Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard 1:2 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

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