Result
2:1
11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 29
- Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (280/346) | 85% (390/461) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 27 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (280/346) | 85% (390/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 56% (36/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (61/99) | 73% (91/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 26% (8/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.46 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 50 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 32 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Nuytinck B. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 0, Sano K. ⚽,
- 60', Shiogai K. ↓, Linssen B. ↑,
- 60', Ouwejan T. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 65', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
- 70', Lyratzis L. ↓, Hoedemakers M. ↑,
- 70', Ouaissa S. ↓, Larsen L. O. ↑,
- 77', Oukili Y. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
- 77', Margaret R. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Kramer M. ⚽, Ihattaren M. (A),
- 85', Sandler P. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Linssen B. ⚽, Hansen S. (A),
- 90+6', van de Loo T. ↓, van der Water S. ↑,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
56.9% | Draw
22.9% | Waalwijk
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.65) |
4.15 ↑
(4.11) |
4.69 ↓
(4.84) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 60.6% – 97.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 4.
- Recent matches Nijmegen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Waalwijk is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Waalwijk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Nijmegen is a favorite.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Marquez I.
(Groin Injury)
Ogawa K.
(Inactive)
van Crooij V.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Waalwijk: Van den Buijs D.
(Injury)
Weidmann D.
(Injury)
van Osch Y.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 15 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 40:16 (average 2:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 28:7 (average 2.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Waalwijk?
NEC Nijmegen has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against NEC Nijmegen?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk were as follows:
09.11.2024
Waalwijk
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:3
09.02.2024
Waalwijk
-
NEC Nijmegen
2:0
26.08.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Waalwijk
3:0
15.07.2023
Waalwijk
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:1
18.03.2023
Waalwijk
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:3
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nijmegen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | PSV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Groningen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Twente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Telstar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
