Result
3:1
21/02/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Rosario I. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 34 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (500/549) | 69% (143/206) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 80% (136/171) | 42% (22/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (11/32) | 21% (3/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 53% (9/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Samir Caetano ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
- 30', 1 - 0, Paradela J. ⚽,
- 35', Pena A. ↓, Montes A. ↑,
- 42', 1 - 1, Sierra J. ⚽, Benedetti N. (A),
- 45+9', Benedetti N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
- 57', Badaloni T. ↓, Cambindo D. ↑,
- 57', Jesus Alcantar ↓, Andrade A. ↑,
- 62', Barcenas Y. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Montes A. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
- 70', Sandoval R. ↓, Mayorga A. ↑,
- 70', Rosero K. ↓, Palma A. ↑,
- 70', Rojas J. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 72', Sierra J. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 72', Esquivel J. ↓, Colula B. ↑,
- 73', Adame G. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 74', Intriago J. 🟨,
- 80', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
- 90+1', Duarte A. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Cambindo D. ⚽, Palma A. (A),
Chances of winning
Necaxa
60.4% | Draw
22.8% | Mazatlan
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Necaxa's performance.Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mazatlan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Necaxa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mazatlan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Necaxa - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.82) |
4.13 ↑
(3.82) |
5.62 ↑
(3.93) |
5.5%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Mazatlan?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Mazatlan will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Necaxa: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Necaxa won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Necaxa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Necaxa is a favorite.
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Merolla L.
(Red Card)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Necaxa won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Necaxa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Mazatlan?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Necaxa?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Mazatlan were as follows:
18.09.2024
Mazatlan
-
Necaxa
0:0
01.03.2024
Mazatlan
-
Necaxa
2:1
05.11.2023
Necaxa
-
Mazatlan
4:0
17.03.2023
Mazatlan
-
Necaxa
0:1
23.09.2022
Necaxa
-
Mazatlan
2:2
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
