Result
1:1
07/11/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Garcia Mendoza K. I. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (145/210) | 84% (386/458) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (145/210) | 84% (386/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (24/57) | 50% (18/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (48/76) | 77% (138/179) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 28% (8/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 100% (11/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Fabio Gomes 🟨,
- 35', Merolla L. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 35', Barcenas Y. ↓, Zaleta M. ↑,
- 36', Colula B. 🟨,
- 38', Meraz R. 🟨,
- 44', Lara E. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 0, Fabio Gomes (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Lainez M. 🟨,
- 59', Leyva A. 🟥,
- 67', Rossano F. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 67', Lara E. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 68', Calderon C. 🟨,
- 71', Esquivel J. 🟨,
- 71', Esquivel J. ↓, Castro C. ↑,
- 79', Oliveros A. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 86', Fabio Gomes ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 86', Sierra J. ↓, Fierro S. ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 1, Monreal R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
27.9% | Draw
25.2% | Necaxa
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Mazatlan - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↑
(2.92) |
3.78 ↓
(3.84) |
2.05 ↓
(2.2) |
5.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Necaxa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Necaxa (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Necaxa will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Necaxa might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Dudu
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A.
(Injury)
Moreno Villegas O. F.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Necaxa?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Mazatlan?
Necaxa has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Necaxa were as follows:
21.02.2025
Necaxa
-
Mazatlan
3:1
18.09.2024
Mazatlan
-
Necaxa
0:0
01.03.2024
Mazatlan
-
Necaxa
2:1
05.11.2023
Necaxa
-
Mazatlan
4:0
17.03.2023
Mazatlan
-
Necaxa
0:1
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Club America | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Atl. San Luis | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Puebla | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Juarez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10:25 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
