Result
3:1
11/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (178/237) | 89% (478/539) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (178/237) | 89% (478/539) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 45% (26/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (63/98) | 69% (59/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', Monreal R. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Homenchenko S. ⚽, Garcia C. (A),
- 39', Jhojan Julio ↓, Venegas F. ↑,
- 45+5', 2 - 0, Coronel M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Leyva D. ↓, Almendra A. E. ↑,
- 53', Martinez R. ↓, Lara E. ↑,
- 53', Calderon C. ↓, Tello I. ↑,
- 54', Duarte B. 🟨,
- 60', Parra D. ↓, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↑,
- 60', Unjanque J. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Badaloni T. ⚽, Oliveros A. (A),
- 70', Gutierrez K. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
- 75', Faravelli L. 🟥,
- 81', 3 - 1, Coronel M. ⚽, Rodriguez L. (A),
- 84', Ruiz J. 🟨,
- 85', Oliveros A. 🟥,
- 89', Garcia C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 89', Coronel M. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
- 89', Monreal R. ↓, Mendez F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Querétaro
39.1% | Draw
27.6% | Necaxa
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Querétaro - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.29) |
3.41 ↑
(3.18) |
2.83 ↓
(2.86) |
6.1%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Querétaro - Necaxa?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Querétaro will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Necaxa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Necaxa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Querétaro: Gruezo E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Necaxa: Carranza J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Querétaro: Allison G.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Querétaro won against Necaxa?
Querétaro has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Querétaro?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Querétaro - Necaxa were as follows:
18.07.2025
Necaxa
-
Querétaro
3:1
28.03.2025
Necaxa
-
Querétaro
2:0
27.09.2024
Querétaro
-
Necaxa
0:0
02.05.2024
Necaxa
-
Querétaro
1:1
16.02.2024
Querétaro
-
Necaxa
1:1
Latest results of Querétaro
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | UNAM Pumas (1) | Club America (8) | 3 : 3 |
| 2 | Pachuca (4) | Toluca (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas (2) | Tigres UANL (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Atlas (6) | 3 : 2 |
