Qizilqum vs Neftchi Fargona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona
28/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
716
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
513
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Ismoilov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Rakhmatullaev S. , Jigauri J. ,
  • 56', Paparyga R. 🟨,
  • 67', Vakhobov I. 🟨,
  • 67', Jumankuziev F. , Bozorov B. ,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Alibaev I. , Ruziev K. (A),
  • 80', Anvarov D. , Usmonov M. ,
  • 80', Paparyga R. , Muzaffarov A. ,
  • 83', Tabatadze T. , Giyosov M. ,
  • 88', Ruziev K. , Gulyamov G. ,
  • 88', Yuldoshev I. , Gadoev S. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Mijic D. , Jigauri J. (A),

Chances of winning


Qizilqum
14.1%
Draw
24.2%
Neftchi Fargona
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.2% 25.3% 60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7% 24.4% 62.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qizilqum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qizilqum than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.59
    (6.59)
    3.83
    (3.68)
    1.5
    (1.54)
    7.9%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 0.
    • Qizilqum is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Neftchi Fargona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Qizilqum won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    19.09.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum 2:2
    06.05.2024 Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona 1:1
    23.11.2023 Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum 1:0
    26.05.2023 Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona 1:1
    29.08.2022 Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum 2:1
    Latest results of Qizilqum
    19.06.2025 Andijan - Qizilqum 1:1
    06.06.2025 Qizilqum - Xorazm Urganch 0:3
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi1596029:121733
    2Neftchi Fargona1586125:131230
    3Din. Samarkand1585221:17429
    4Bunyodkor1576225:141127
    5OKMK1583422:17527
    6Pakhtakor1582531:141726
    7Navbahor Namangan1582530:161426
    8Termez Surkhon1553712:16-418
    9Andijan1545619:23-417
    10Qizilqum1545615:25-1017
    11Sogdiana1544717:19-216
    12Mashal Muborak1543813:28-1515
    13Xorazm Urganch1542916:18-214
    14Buxoro1534816:26-1013
    15Kokand 19121533910:25-1512
    16Shortan Guzor1523108:26-189

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