Qizilqum vs Neftchi Fargona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona
28/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
716
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
513
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Ismoilov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Rakhmatullaev S. , Jigauri J. ,
  • 56', Paparyga R. 🟨,
  • 67', Vakhobov I. 🟨,
  • 67', Jumankuziev F. , Bozorov B. ,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Alibaev I. , Ruziev K. (A),
  • 80', Anvarov D. , Usmonov M. ,
  • 80', Paparyga R. , Muzaffarov A. ,
  • 83', Tabatadze T. , Giyosov M. ,
  • 88', Ruziev K. , Gulyamov G. ,
  • 88', Yuldoshev I. , Gadoev S. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Mijic D. , Jigauri J. (A),

Chances of winning


Qizilqum
14.1%
Draw
24.2%
Neftchi Fargona
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.2% 25.3% 60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7% 24.4% 62.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qizilqum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qizilqum than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.59
    (6.59)
    3.83
    (3.68)
    1.5
    (1.54)
    7.9%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 0.
    • Qizilqum is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Neftchi Fargona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Qizilqum won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    19.09.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum 2:2
    06.05.2024 Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona 1:1
    23.11.2023 Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum 1:0
    26.05.2023 Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona 1:1
    29.08.2022 Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum 2:1
    Latest results of Qizilqum
    19.06.2025 Andijan - Qizilqum 1:1
    06.06.2025 Qizilqum - Xorazm Urganch 0:3
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi23157144:172752
    2Neftchi Fargona23146337:191848
    3Pakhtakor23134645:202543
    4Din. Samarkand22118333:25841
    5OKMK23124735:26940
    6Bunyodkor23109436:28839
    7Navbahor Namangan23106738:281036
    8Qizilqum2368919:30-1126
    9Sogdiana23671028:29-125
    10Andijan2267928:34-625
    11Termez Surkhon23671018:24-625
    12Kokand 191223651219:35-1623
    13Mashal Muborak23651218:39-2123
    14Buxoro23561224:37-1321
    15Xorazm Urganch23551324:29-520
    16Shortan Guzor23261515:41-2612

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