Shurtan Guzar vs Neftchi Fargona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
25/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 26

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
59
Shots on target
26
Corner Kicks
16
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
59
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', Kojo J. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Marusic Z. ,
  • 45+1', Odilov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Ibrakhimov M. , Kodirov G. ,
  • 69', Odilov A. , Jovovic V. ,
  • 69', Ruziev K. 🟨,
  • 77', Mannonov J. , Sadulloev S. ,
  • 77', Mamasidikov T. , Khakimov J. ,
  • 78', Ruziev K. , Yuldoshev I. ,
  • 84', Turdialiev A. , Khasanov N. ,
  • 84', Toshkuziev A. , Asomiddinov D. ,
  • 88', 0 - 2, Jovovic V. , Iskanderov J. (A),

Chances of winning


Shurtan Guzar
11%
Draw
20.8%
Neftchi Fargona
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.7% 20.2% 69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.3% 19.4% 72%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shurtan Guzar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Shurtan Guzar - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.39
    (8.56)
    4.43
    (4.52)
    1.35
    (1.32)
    8.7%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shurtan won 1.
    • Shurtan has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Neftchi Fargona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Neftchi Fargona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Shurtan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shurtan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shurtan Guzar - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar 4:0
    Latest results of Shurtan Guzar
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Neftchi Fargona440012:11112
    2Buxoro43106:2410
    3Pakhtakor43018:539
    4Lok. Tashkent42116:427
    5Nasaf Qarshi42114:227
    6Bunyodkor42114:317
    7Andijan42027:526
    8Navbahor Namangan42025:416
    9Qizilqum42024:406
    10OKMK41123:4-14
    11Xorazm Urganch41123:4-14
    12Kokand 191241123:4-14
    13Din. Samarkand41125:7-24
    14Termez Surkhon41122:6-44
    15Sogdiana40134:12-81
    16Mashal Muborak40040:9-90

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga