Neftchi Fargona vs Shurtan Guzar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar
Result
4:0
24/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 11
  • Referee: Suyunboyev X. (Uzb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
40
Shots on target
40
Corner Kicks
174
Red Cards
01
Total shots
40
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
174
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Mannonov J. 🟥,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Ciger B. ,
  • 45+4', Kodirov G. , Toshkuziev A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Ubaydullaev M. , Sayfiev F. ,
  • 46', Tabatadze T. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 46', Eshbutaev S. , Abduraimov S. ,
  • 60', Ruziev K. , Toshmirzaev B. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Iskanderov J. ,
  • 67', Boltaboev J. , Giyosov M. ,
  • 70', Rahmatov B. , Saidkhonov A. ,
  • 70', Mamasidikov T. , Sharipov D. ,
  • 76', Ismoilov A. , Gadoev S. ,
  • 82', 3 - 0, Yuldoshev I. ,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Toshmirzaev B. ,

Chances of winning


Neftchi Fargona
71.4%
Draw
19.1%
Shurtan Guzar
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.5% 20.4% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 19.3% 9.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Shurtan Guzar aligns with the current prediction.
  • Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.32)
    4.83
    (4.5)
    9.74
    (9.16)
    8.3%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 1.
    • Neftchi Fargona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shurtan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Shurtan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Latest results of Shurtan Guzar
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi18107132:151737
    2Neftchi Fargona18106229:161336
    3OKMK18104426:18834
    4Din. Samarkand1897228:22634
    5Pakhtakor19103636:171933
    6Navbahor Namangan1894534:191531
    7Bunyodkor1887329:191031
    8Termez Surkhon1865717:19-223
    9Qizilqum1857616:25-922
    10Andijan1856723:25-221
    11Sogdiana1955921:24-320
    12Xorazm Urganch1854922:22019
    13Kokand 191218431113:31-1815
    14Mashal Muborak18431115:35-2015
    15Buxoro18351017:30-1314
    16Shortan Guzor18241211:32-2110

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