Result
4:0
24/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 11
- Referee: Suyunboyev X. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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77% | 23% |
Total shots |
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4 | 0 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
17 | 4 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Total shots |
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4 | 0 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
17 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Mannonov J. 🟥,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Ciger B. ⚽,
- 45+4', Kodirov G. ↓, Toshkuziev A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Ubaydullaev M. ↓, Sayfiev F. ↑,
- 46', Tabatadze T. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
- 46', Eshbutaev S. ↓, Abduraimov S. ↑,
- 60', Ruziev K. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Iskanderov J. ⚽,
- 67', Boltaboev J. ↓, Giyosov M. ↑,
- 70', Rahmatov B. ↓, Saidkhonov A. ↑,
- 70', Mamasidikov T. ↓, Sharipov D. ↑,
- 76', Ismoilov A. ↓, Gadoev S. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 0, Yuldoshev I. ⚽,
- 84', 4 - 0, Toshmirzaev B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Fargona 71.4% | Draw 19.1% | Shurtan Guzar 9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+1.9%)The ML Model estimate for Shurtan Guzar aligns with the current prediction.
Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.29 ↓ (1.32) |
4.83 ↑ (4.5) |
9.74 ↑ (9.16) |
8.3% (8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 1.
- Neftchi Fargona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shurtan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Shurtan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Fargona won against Shurtan Guzar?
Neftchi Fargona has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shurtan Guzar won against Neftchi Fargona?
Shurtan Guzar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar were as follows:
Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
Latest results of Shurtan Guzar
Uzbek League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 44:17 | 27 | 52 |
2 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 37:19 | 18 | 48 |
3 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 45:20 | 25 | 43 |
4 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
5 | OKMK | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35:26 | 9 | 40 |
6 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 36:28 | 8 | 39 |
7 | Navbahor Namangan | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 36 |
8 | Qizilqum | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 19:30 | -11 | 26 |
9 | Sogdiana | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Andijan | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 |
11 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 18:24 | -6 | 25 |
12 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 23 |
13 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18:39 | -21 | 23 |
14 | Buxoro | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 21 |
15 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24:29 | -5 | 20 |
16 | Shortan Guzor | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 15:41 | -26 | 12 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga