Neftchi Fargona vs Xorazm Urganch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch
Result
2:0
07/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Gofurov A. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Tabatadze T. ,
  • 31', Ciger B. 🟨,
  • 41', Bobodzhonov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tabatadze T. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 56', Abdullazhonov S. , Ismoilov T. ,
  • 61', Alibaev I. 🟨,
  • 63', Juraev D. 🟨,
  • 66', Bobodzhonov M. , Samiev S. ,
  • 68', Ismoilov T. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 0, Marusic Z. , Iskanderov J. (A),
  • 70', Marusic Z. 🟨,
  • 71', Ruziev K. , Jovovic V. ,
  • 80', Abdukhamidov R. , Akhrorov A. ,
  • 80', Toshpulatov I. , Narh F. ,
  • 80', Azimov J. , Shaakhmedov S. ,
  • 90+4', Ciger B. , Gulyamov G. ,

Chances of winning


Neftchi Fargona
70.3%
Draw
19.6%
Xorazm Urganch
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 19.4% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5% 18.3% 10.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Xorazm Urganch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.33)
    4.69
    (4.76)
    9.15
    (8.11)
    8.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Xorazm will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Neftchi Fargona: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13).
    • Neftchi Fargona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Xorazm's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Xorazm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Latest results of Xorazm Urganch
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi26169150:203057
    2Neftchi Fargona26176342:192357
    3Pakhtakor26164653:203352
    4Din. Samarkand25138439:281147
    5Bunyodkor261210442:311146
    6OKMK26125936:29741
    7Navbahor Namangan26107939:33637
    8Qizilqum26881022:33-1132
    9Sogdiana26871132:33-131
    10Kokand 191226851322:38-1629
    11Andijan24771032:39-728
    12Termez Surkhon25671219:28-925
    13Xorazm Urganch26661428:31-324
    14Buxoro26661427:45-1824
    15Mashal Muborak26651519:45-2623
    16Shortan Guzor26261819:49-3012

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