Neftchi Fargona vs Xorazm Urganch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch
Result
2:0
07/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Gofurov A. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Tabatadze T. ,
  • 31', Ciger B. 🟨,
  • 41', Bobodzhonov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tabatadze T. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 56', Abdullazhonov S. , Ismoilov T. ,
  • 61', Alibaev I. 🟨,
  • 63', Juraev D. 🟨,
  • 66', Bobodzhonov M. , Samiev S. ,
  • 68', Ismoilov T. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 0, Marusic Z. , Iskanderov J. (A),
  • 70', Marusic Z. 🟨,
  • 71', Ruziev K. , Jovovic V. ,
  • 80', Abdukhamidov R. , Akhrorov A. ,
  • 80', Toshpulatov I. , Narh F. ,
  • 80', Azimov J. , Shaakhmedov S. ,
  • 90+4', Ciger B. , Gulyamov G. ,

Chances of winning


Neftchi Fargona
70.3%
Draw
19.6%
Xorazm Urganch
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 19.4% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5% 18.3% 10.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Xorazm Urganch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.33)
    4.69
    (4.76)
    9.15
    (8.11)
    8.6%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Xorazm will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Neftchi Fargona: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13).
    • Neftchi Fargona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Xorazm's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Xorazm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Latest results of Xorazm Urganch
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi23157144:172752
    2Neftchi Fargona23146337:191848
    3Pakhtakor23134645:202543
    4Din. Samarkand22118333:25841
    5OKMK23124735:26940
    6Bunyodkor23109436:28839
    7Navbahor Namangan23106738:281036
    8Qizilqum2368919:30-1126
    9Sogdiana23671028:29-125
    10Andijan2267928:34-625
    11Termez Surkhon23671018:24-625
    12Kokand 191223651219:35-1623
    13Mashal Muborak23651218:39-2123
    14Buxoro23561224:37-1321
    15Xorazm Urganch23551324:29-520
    16Shortan Guzor23261515:41-2612

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