Neftchi Fargona vs Xorazm Urganch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch
Result
2:0
07/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Gofurov A. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Tabatadze T. ,
  • 31', Ciger B. 🟨,
  • 41', Bobodzhonov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tabatadze T. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 56', Abdullazhonov S. , Ismoilov T. ,
  • 61', Alibaev I. 🟨,
  • 63', Juraev D. 🟨,
  • 66', Bobodzhonov M. , Samiev S. ,
  • 68', Ismoilov T. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 0, Marusic Z. , Iskanderov J. (A),
  • 70', Marusic Z. 🟨,
  • 71', Ruziev K. , Jovovic V. ,
  • 80', Abdukhamidov R. , Akhrorov A. ,
  • 80', Toshpulatov I. , Narh F. ,
  • 80', Azimov J. , Shaakhmedov S. ,
  • 90+4', Ciger B. , Gulyamov G. ,

Chances of winning


Neftchi Fargona
70.3%
Draw
19.6%
Xorazm Urganch
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 19.4% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5% 18.3% 10.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Xorazm Urganch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.33)
    4.69
    (4.76)
    9.15
    (8.11)
    8.6%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Xorazm will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Neftchi Fargona: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13).
    • Neftchi Fargona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Xorazm's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Xorazm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Latest results of Xorazm Urganch
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi20127136:162043
    2Neftchi Fargona20126233:161742
    3Din. Samarkand20108230:23738
    4OKMK20114529:20937
    5Pakhtakor20113642:192336
    6Bunyodkor2098332:211135
    7Navbahor Namangan2095637:231432
    8Qizilqum2068618:26-826
    9Termez Surkhon2065918:23-523
    10Sogdiana2056922:25-321
    11Andijan2056925:32-721
    12Xorazm Urganch20541123:26-319
    13Kokand 191220531215:32-1718
    14Mashal Muborak20531216:38-2218
    15Buxoro20451119:32-1317
    16Shortan Guzor20251314:37-2311

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