Xorazm Urganch vs Neftchi Fargona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
30/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 30
  • Referee: Abduvohidov R. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
41
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
109
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Khusinov A. , Ezhov D. (A),
  • 6', Shaykulov I. 🟨,
  • 9', Khusinov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Shaykulov I. , Toshpulatov I. ,
  • 62', Ruziev K. 🟨,
  • 63', Azimov J. 🟨,
  • 67', Samiev S. , Bobodzhonov M. ,
  • 67', Azimov J. , Saidkhonov A. ,
  • 74', Ezhov D. , Ismoilov T. ,
  • 76', Gulyamov G. 🟨,
  • 80', Akhrorov A. , Abdullazhonov S. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Bobodzhonov M. ,

Chances of winning


Xorazm Urganch
14.9%
Draw
21.5%
Neftchi Fargona
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.5% 24.4% 56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 23.5% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xorazm Urganch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Fargona's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftchi Fargona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Xorazm Urganch - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.22
    (4.73)
    4.31
    (3.77)
    1.46
    (1.64)
    7.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Xorazm is Super League (Relegation)
    • Neftchi Fargona is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    • Xorazm has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Neftchi Fargona is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Xorazm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Xorazm Urganch - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    07.07.2025 Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch 2:0
    Latest results of Xorazm Urganch
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Neftchi Fargona440012:11112
    2Buxoro43106:2410
    3Pakhtakor43018:539
    4Lok. Tashkent42116:427
    5Nasaf Qarshi42114:227
    6Bunyodkor42114:317
    7Andijan42027:526
    8Navbahor Namangan42025:416
    9Qizilqum42024:406
    10OKMK41123:4-14
    11Xorazm Urganch41123:4-14
    12Kokand 191241123:4-14
    13Din. Samarkand41125:7-24
    14Termez Surkhon41122:6-44
    15Sogdiana40134:12-81
    16Mashal Muborak40040:9-90

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga