Result
2:0
07/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Gofurov A. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Tabatadze T. ⚽,
- 31', Ciger B. 🟨,
- 41', Bobodzhonov M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tabatadze T. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
- 56', Abdullazhonov S. ↓, Ismoilov T. ↑,
- 61', Alibaev I. 🟨,
- 63', Juraev D. 🟨,
- 66', Bobodzhonov M. ↓, Samiev S. ↑,
- 68', Ismoilov T. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 0, Marusic Z. ⚽, Iskanderov J. (A),
- 70', Marusic Z. 🟨,
- 71', Ruziev K. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
- 80', Abdukhamidov R. ↓, Akhrorov A. ↑,
- 80', Toshpulatov I. ↓, Narh F. ↑,
- 80', Azimov J. ↓, Shaakhmedov S. ↑,
- 90+4', Ciger B. ↓, Gulyamov G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Fargona 70.3% | Draw 19.6% | Xorazm Urganch 10.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Xorazm Urganch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.31 ↓ (1.33) |
4.69 ↓ (4.76) |
9.15 ↑ (8.11) |
8.6% (8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Xorazm will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neftchi Fargona: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13).
- Neftchi Fargona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Xorazm's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Xorazm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the undisputed favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Fargona won against Xorazm Urganch?
Neftchi Fargona has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Xorazm Urganch won against Neftchi Fargona?
Xorazm Urganch has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch were as follows:
Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
Latest results of Xorazm Urganch
Uzbek League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 29:12 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Neftchi Fargona | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25:13 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Din. Samarkand | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Bunyodkor | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25:14 | 11 | 27 |
5 | OKMK | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Pakhtakor | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 31:14 | 17 | 26 |
7 | Navbahor Namangan | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:16 | 14 | 26 |
8 | Termez Surkhon | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12:16 | -4 | 18 |
9 | Andijan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Qizilqum | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:25 | -10 | 17 |
11 | Sogdiana | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Mashal Muborak | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13:28 | -15 | 15 |
13 | Xorazm Urganch | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16:18 | -2 | 14 |
14 | Buxoro | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 13 |
15 | Kokand 1912 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:25 | -15 | 12 |
16 | Shortan Guzor | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8:26 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga