Result
2:1
18/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 8
- Referee: Nasibullayev S. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Uzbekistan | Futbol TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Djokic J. ⚽,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Abdikholikov B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Yuldoshev I. 🟨,
- 61', Ismoilov A. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
- 61', Perica S. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Iskanderov J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 69', Abdikholikov B. ↓, Usmonov D. ↑,
- 69', Berdirahmonov Y. ↓, Mukhitdinov S. ↑,
- 74', Rakhmatov M. ↓, Berdirahmonov Y. ↑,
- 74', Odilov A. ↓, Jumaev A. ↑,
- 83', Iskanderov J. ↓, Giyosov K. ↑,
- 83', Ratinho ↓, Fomin R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Fargona
57.4% | Draw
27.1% | Nasaf Qarshi
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Nasaf Qarshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftchi Fargona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.46) |
3.42 ↓
(3.78) |
5.97 ↓
(6.8) |
7.9%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 2.
- Neftchi Fargona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nasaf has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Neftchi Fargona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Neftchi Fargona will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Fargona won against Nasaf Qarshi?
Neftchi Fargona has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nasaf Qarshi won against Neftchi Fargona?
Nasaf Qarshi has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi were as follows:
11.08.2025
Neftchi Fargona
-
Nasaf Qarshi
1:0
29.03.2025
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Neftchi Fargona
0:0
22.11.2024
Neftchi Fargona
-
Nasaf Qarshi
2:0
20.06.2024
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Neftchi Fargona
1:0
07.10.2023
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Neftchi Fargona
2:0
Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:3 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Navbahor Namangan | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | OKMK | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | Lok. Tashkent | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Andijan | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Din. Samarkand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Termez Surkhon | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:21 | -17 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
