Result
1:1
20/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 15
- Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Kokoev D. ⚽,
- 36', Zhigulev I. 🟨,
- 41', Tolstopyatov N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Shiltsov K. ↓, Sukhomlinov D. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Aliev S. ⚽,
- 54', Nikolaev O. 🟨,
- 59', Antonov A. ↓, Zarypbekov E. ↑,
- 63', Sitdikov M. 🟨,
- 65', Sitdikov M. ↓, Musalov M. ↑,
- 65', Mashukov I. ↓, Dzhamilov S. ↑,
- 77', Nikolaev O. ↓, Lozhkin V. ↑,
- 82', Zhigulev I. ↓, Pomeshkin K. ↑,
- 90+2', Morozov K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
43.2% | Draw
30.1% | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.25) |
3.13 ↑
(2.85) |
3.53 ↑
(3.4) |
6.2%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Chernomorets will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Neftekhimik will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chernomorets: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Chernomorets (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).
- In recent matches, Chernomorets has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Neftekhimik is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chernomorets will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk were as follows:
19.05.2025
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
0:2
19.10.2024
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
0:0
26.11.2023
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
0:1
06.08.2023
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
1:1
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Latest results of Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 33 |
| 2 | Ural | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 27 |
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 25 |
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 23 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Yenisey | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 17 |
| 13 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Ufa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 | Saratov | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 14 |
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 11 |
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